Louisville City 2-1 Birmingham Legion FC: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Lynn Family Stadium, Louisville, KY

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: Louisville CityWon68%

Birmingham Legion FC: winless in their last 8 league matches

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won63%

    our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Won10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLouisville City160868%67%Draw18%19%Birmingham Legion FC139914%13%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%52%O2.563%56%|exp. goals 2.0 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Birmingham Legion FC1:1Louisville CityD
  2. Louisville City4:2Birmingham Legion FCW
  3. Birmingham Legion FC1:1Louisville CityD
  4. Birmingham Legion FC1:4Louisville CityW
  5. Louisville City5:0Birmingham Legion FCW
Louisville City's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.2under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.6league 4.6under 4.5: 53%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 7
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 0.9total 3.2Attack/defence2.0 : 0.9total 2.9
Louisville City : Birmingham Legion FC
Most likely scores
Market2-010%1-08%1-19%2-110%3-08%3-1—Attack/defence2-011%1-011%1-110%2-110%3-07%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-010%2-011%1-01-08%1-011%1-11-19%1-110%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-08%3-07%3-13-1—3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat86%84%84%
Over 1.5 goals84%79%79%
12 – no draw82%79%79%
Our tip: 1 – Louisville City win68%63% · Elo 67%63%· Elo 67%
Over 2.5 goals63%56%56%
Under 3.5 goals59%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes56%52%52%
Both teams to score: no44%48%48%
Over 3.5 goals41%33%33%
Under 2.5 goals37%44%44%
X2 – away team avoid defeat32%37%37%
X – draw18%21% · Elo 19%21%· Elo 19%
Under 1.5 goals16%21%21%
2 – Birmingham Legion FC win14%16% · Elo 13%16%· Elo 13%
Attack vs defence
Louisville City attack vs Birmingham Legion FC defenceattack1641defence1448+193 pts to the attack
Birmingham Legion FC attack vs Louisville City defenceattack1458defence1576−118 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Louisville City: only 11 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Birmingham Legion FC: no win in 8 matches
  • Louisville City: 11 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Birmingham Legion FC: 24 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Louisville City27117945:4240
11Birmingham Legion FC264111136:4323
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion FC?

Louisville City 2-1 Birmingham Legion FC (half time 1-1).

Did the Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion FC tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Louisville City. The tip won.