Orange County 0-3 Tampa Bay: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Championship Soccer Stadium at the Orange County Great Park, Irvine, CA

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost56%

under 4.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (52% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost37%

under 3.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (33% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloOrange County144122%41%Draw25%27%Tampa Bay156754%32%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%57%O2.552%54%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Tampa Bay2:0Orange CountyL
  2. Orange County1:1Tampa BayD
  3. Tampa Bay3:1Orange CountyL
  4. Tampa Bay1:3Orange CountyW
Orange County's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.2over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 2
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.5under 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 5
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.7total 2.7Attack/defence1.5 : 1.4total 2.8
Orange County : Tampa Bay
Most likely scores
Market1-112%0-110%1-210%0-210%2-1—1-0—0-07%Attack/defence1-112%0-18%1-28%0-2—2-19%1-08%0-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%0-10-110%0-18%1-21-210%1-28%0-20-210%0-2—2-12-1—2-19%1-01-0—1-08%0-00-07%0-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat79%61%61%
Over 1.5 goals77%77%77%
12 – no draw76%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals70%69%69%
2 – Tampa Bay win54%35% · Elo 32%35%· Elo 32%
Both teams to score: yes54%57%57%
Over 2.5 goals52%54%54%
Under 2.5 goals48%47%47%
1X – home team avoid defeat47%65%65%
Both teams to score: no46%43%43%
Over 3.5 goals30%31%31%
X – draw25%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals23%23%23%
1 – Orange County win22%39% · Elo 41%39%· Elo 41%
Attack vs defence
Orange County attack vs Tampa Bay defenceattack1519defence1504+15 pts to the attack
Tampa Bay attack vs Orange County defenceattack1609defence1496+113 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Orange County matches average only 3.2 cards (league 4.5) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Orange County matches average 11.8 corners (league 9.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Orange County: unbeaten in 9 matches
  • Orange County: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Orange County: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Tampa Bay: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Orange CountyWestern Conference28109937:4439
1Tampa BayEastern Conference28167549:2655
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Orange County vs Tampa Bay?

Orange County 0-3 Tampa Bay (half time 0-1).

Did the Orange County vs Tampa Bay tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.