Orange County 1-5 Tulsa: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Championship Soccer Stadium at the Orange County Great Park, Irvine, CA

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost58%

2.8 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.8 in the visitors', league average 4.5; under 4.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 9.5Lost59%

    under 9.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (54% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost40%

under 3.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 10 (33% of league matches); 2.8 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.8 in the visitors', league average 4.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloOrange County144138%41%Draw27%27%Tulsa154935%31%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%48%O2.548%41%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Tulsa0:1Orange CountyW
  2. Tulsa1:0Orange CountyL
  3. Orange County2:1TulsaW
  4. Tulsa0:0Orange CountyD
  5. Orange County1:0TulsaW
Orange County's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 9.1under 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.5under 4.5: 58%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 6
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.3total 2.6Attack/defence1.2 : 1.1total 2.3
Orange County : Tulsa
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-09%0-19%0-08%2-18%2-0—Attack/defence1-114%1-012%0-110%0-010%2-18%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%1-01-09%1-012%0-10-19%0-110%0-00-08%0-010%2-12-18%2-18%2-02-0—2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals74%68%68%
Under 3.5 goals74%79%79%
12 – no draw73%71%71%
1X – home team avoid defeat65%68%68%
X2 – away team avoid defeat62%61%61%
Both teams to score: yes54%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals52%59%59%
Over 2.5 goals48%41%41%
Both teams to score: no46%53%53%
1 – Orange County win38%39% · Elo 41%39%· Elo 41%
2 – Tulsa win35%32% · Elo 31%32%· Elo 31%
X – draw27%29% · Elo 27%29%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals26%32%32%
Over 3.5 goals26%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Orange County attack vs Tulsa defenceattack1511defence1580−69 pts to the attack
Tulsa attack vs Orange County defenceattack1481defence1483−2 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Orange County matches average only 2.8 cards (league 4.5) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Tulsa: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Tulsa score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Tulsa matches average only 6.7 corners (league 9.1) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Orange County: 18 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Orange County: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Tulsa: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Western Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Tulsa281110732:2543
7Orange County28109937:4439
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Orange County vs Tulsa?

Orange County 1-5 Tulsa (half time 0-2).

Did the Orange County vs Tulsa tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.