New Mexico United 1-0 Tulsa: prediction, tips and result

Sunday 16 August · 02:30

New Mexico United

1-0 2-1 4-1 1-0 5-2

1-0Full time(half time 0-0)

Tulsa

0-1 1-0 1-0 0-0 1-0

Stadium:: Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park, Albuquerque, NM

Our tips

Main tip

Corners: Under 9.5Won60%

9.9 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 6.6 in the visitors', league average 9.2

Other tips

Both Teams To Score: YesLost56%
New Mexico United: scored in each of their last 6 league matches

For the brave

Corners: Under 8.5Lost47%

under 8.5 corners in 4 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (44% of league matches); 9.9 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 6.6 in the visitors', league average 9.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloNew Mexico United153743%45%Draw27%27%Tulsa154930%28%favourite won

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%49%O2.551%42%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1not both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

16/11/202516/11/25Tulsa3:0New Mexico UnitedL
14/09/202514/09/25New Mexico United0:1TulsaL
10/08/202510/08/25Tulsa5:2New Mexico UnitedL
13/10/202413/10/24Tulsa1:1New Mexico UnitedD
15/08/202415/08/24New Mexico United3:3TulsaD

New Mexico United's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses3.8 goals per match

Cornersleague corners8.9league 9.2under 9.5: 60%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9

Cardsleague cards4.6league 4.5under 4.5: 52%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 1

Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.5 : 1.2total 2.7Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.4

New Mexico United : Tulsa

Most likely scores

Market1-113%1-09%0-1—0-07%2-19%2-0—1-27%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-110%0-010%2-18%2-08%1-2—

MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-09%1-011%0-10-1—0-110%0-00-07%0-010%2-12-19%2-18%2-02-0—2-08%1-21-27%1-2—

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	76%69%	69%
12 – no draw	73%72%	72%
Under 3.5 goals	71%78%	78%
1X – home team avoid defeat	70%68%	68%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	57%60%	60%
Both teams to score: yes	56%49%	49%
Over 2.5 goals	51%42%	42%
Under 2.5 goals	49%58%	58%
Both teams to score: no	44%52%	52%
1 – New Mexico United win	43%40% · Elo 45%	40%· Elo 45%
2 – Tulsa win	30%32% · Elo 28%	32%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals	29%22%	22%
X – draw	27%28% · Elo 27%	28%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals	24%31%	31%

Attack vs defence

New Mexico United attack vs Tulsa defenceattack1530defence1585−55 pts to the attack

Tulsa attack vs New Mexico United defenceattack1483defence1484−1 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Tulsa: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
Tulsa matches average only 6.6 corners (league 9.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
New Mexico United: 5 wins in a row
New Mexico United: 23 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
New Mexico United: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
Tulsa: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

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