USL Championship

Tulsa 1-0 New Mexico United: prediction, tips and result

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Tulsa
1-00-01-22-21-1
1-0Full time(half time 1-0)
New Mexico United
2-30-04-42-22-1
Stadium:
Oneok Field, Tulsa, OK

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 9.5Lost60%

7.2 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.4 in the visitors', league average 9.2

Other tips

  • Offsides – Tulsa: Over 1.5Won72%

    our numbers for Tulsa: 2.6 offsides against a league average of 1.6; Tulsa: 2.4 offsides a match, New Mexico United's opponents were caught offside 2.4 times on average, league average 1.6

  • Fouls – Tulsa: Over 10.5Won56%

    Tulsa: over 10.5 fouls in 7 of their last 10 league matches, New Mexico United's opponents committed over 10.5 in 7 of 10 (48% of league matches)

  • Shots on Target – Tulsa: Over 4.5Won56%

    our numbers for Tulsa: 5.1 shots on target against a league average of 4.6

For the brave
Corners: Under 8.5Lost48%

7.2 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.4 in the visitors', league average 9.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTulsa154945%44%Draw27%27%New Mexico United153728%29%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%50%O2.554%47%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. New Mexico United1:0TulsaL
  2. Tulsa3:0New Mexico UnitedW
  3. New Mexico United0:1TulsaW
  4. Tulsa5:2New Mexico UnitedW
  5. Tulsa1:1New Mexico UnitedD
Tulsa's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 9.2under 9.5: 60%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.4under 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 6
Refereeno referee data
Dutching(several bets at once)68%BTTS yes1:0coverageleague 62% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.2total 2.8Attack/defence1.5 : 1.0total 2.5
Tulsa : New Mexico United
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-09%2-19%2-08%0-0—0-1—1-27%Attack/defence1-113%1-012%2-19%2-09%0-08%0-18%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-09%1-012%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-08%2-09%0-00-0—0-08%0-10-1—0-18%1-21-27%1-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals78%72%72%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat72%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals68%75%75%
Both teams to score: yes58%50%50%
X2 – away team avoid defeat55%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals54%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals46%53%53%
1 – Tulsa win45%49% · Elo 44%49%· Elo 44%
Both teams to score: no42%50%50%
Over 3.5 goals32%25%25%
2 – New Mexico United win28%25% · Elo 29%25%· Elo 29%
X – draw27%27% · Elo 27%27%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals22%28%28%
Attack vs defence
Tulsa attack vs New Mexico United defenceattack1490defence1452+38 pts to the attack
New Mexico United attack vs Tulsa defenceattack1540defence1591−51 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 8.2 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.557%50%
8.544%35%
9.532%29%
10.522%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Tulsawe expect 5.1, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 56%
New Mexico Unitedwe expect 3.4, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 43%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 22.7 in this match, 22.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
21.556%62%
22.549%50%
23.542%45%
24.536%40%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Tulsawe expect 11.3, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 56%
New Mexico Unitedwe expect 11.4, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 47%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 73%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 27%over
We expect 3.9 in this match, 2.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.589%70%
2.573%55%
3.553%36%
4.534%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Tulsawe expect 2.6, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 72%
New Mexico Unitedwe expect 1.4, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 41%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

Tulsa

New Mexico United

League position

Western Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2New Mexico United28147744:3349
5Tulsa281110732:2543
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Tulsa vs New Mexico United?

Tulsa 1-0 New Mexico United (half time 1-0).

Did the Tulsa vs New Mexico United tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 9.5. The tip lost.

See also