USL Championship

Las Vegas Lights 1-0 San Antonio: prediction, tips and result

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Las Vegas Lights
0-21-22-01-12-3
1-0Full time(half time 1-0)
San Antonio
0-00-01-20-02-1
Stadium:
Cashman Field, Las Vegas, NV

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Shots on Target – Las Vegas Lights: Under 4.5Lost68%

Las Vegas Lights: 3.3 shots on target a match, San Antonio's opponents had 2.7 on average, league average 4.6; under 4.5 shots on target in 8 of their last 10 league matches, San Antonio's opponents had under 4.5 in 9 of 10 (61% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Offsides: Over 2.5Won63%

    2.5 offsides a match in the hosts' matches, 4.6 in the visitors', league average 3.0

  • Fouls – Las Vegas Lights: Over 10.5Won56%

    Las Vegas Lights: over 10.5 fouls in 5 of their last 10 league matches, San Antonio's opponents committed over 10.5 in 8 of 10 (48% of league matches)

For the brave
Shots on Target – Las Vegas Lights: Under 3.5Lost49%

Las Vegas Lights: 3.3 shots on target a match, San Antonio's opponents had 2.7 on average, league average 4.6; under 3.5 shots on target in 6 of their last 10 league matches, San Antonio's opponents had under 3.5 in 7 of 10 (43% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLas Vegas Lights140936%35%Draw27%28%San Antonio146737%37%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%45%O2.551%38%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. San Antonio1:2Las Vegas LightsW
  2. Las Vegas Lights1:1San AntonioD
  3. San Antonio3:0Las Vegas LightsL
  4. San Antonio1:1Las Vegas LightsD
  5. Las Vegas Lights1:0San AntonioW
Las Vegas Lights's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.2under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.5league 4.4under 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 5
Refereeno referee data
Dutching(several bets at once)68%X22:1coverageleague 65% · H2H 4/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.4total 2.7Attack/defence1.2 : 1.1total 2.2
Las Vegas Lights : San Antonio
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-08%0-18%0-0—1-28%2-18%2-0—Attack/defence1-114%1-012%0-111%0-011%1-2—2-18%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-114%1-01-08%1-012%0-10-18%0-111%0-00-0—0-011%1-21-28%1-2—2-12-18%2-18%2-02-0—2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals76%65%65%
12 – no draw73%70%70%
Under 3.5 goals71%82%82%
X2 – away team avoid defeat64%63%63%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes56%45%45%
Over 2.5 goals51%38%38%
Under 2.5 goals49%62%62%
Both teams to score: no44%55%55%
2 – San Antonio win37%33% · Elo 37%33%· Elo 37%
1 – Las Vegas Lights win36%37% · Elo 35%37%· Elo 35%
Over 3.5 goals29%18%18%
X – draw27%30% · Elo 28%30%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals24%35%35%
Attack vs defence
Las Vegas Lights attack vs San Antonio defenceattack1419defence1538−119 pts to the attack
San Antonio attack vs Las Vegas Lights defenceattack1440defence1468−28 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 69%close to the league averageunderover 31%
We expect 7.3 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.544%51%
8.531%35%
9.521%29%
10.513%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Las Vegas Lightswe expect 3.8, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 33%
San Antoniowe expect 3.0, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 35%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 50%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 22.8 in this match, 22.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
21.557%63%
22.550%51%
23.543%45%
24.537%40%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Las Vegas Lightswe expect 11.4, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 57%
San Antoniowe expect 11.5, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 47%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 63%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 37%over
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.583%71%
2.563%55%
3.541%37%
4.523%17%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Las Vegas Lightswe expect 1.7, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
San Antoniowe expect 1.6, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 46%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Las Vegas Lights played 3 days ago
  • San Antonio: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Las Vegas Lights

San Antonio

League position

Western Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8San Antonio28912729:2939
10Las Vegas Lights281061237:4136
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio?

Las Vegas Lights 1-0 San Antonio (half time 1-0).

Did the Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Shots on Target – Las Vegas Lights: Under 4.5. The tip lost.

See also