Lexington SC 3-2 Monterey Bay FC: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
LEXINGTON SC STADIUM, Lexington, KY

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 9.5Lost60%

under 9.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (54% of league matches)

For the brave
Corners: Under 8.5Lost47%

under 8.5 corners in 4 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (44% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLexington SC153260%60%Draw22%22%Monterey Bay FC133118%18%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%48%O2.554%46%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 3 meetings
  1. Lexington SC3:1Monterey Bay FCW
  2. Monterey Bay FC2:1Lexington SCL
  3. Lexington SC0:0Monterey Bay FCD
Lexington SC's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss2.3 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 9.2under 9.5: 60%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 16
Cardsleague cards4.6league 4.6under 4.5: 52%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 4
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 0.9total 2.8Attack/defence1.6 : 0.9total 2.5
Lexington SC : Monterey Bay FC
Most likely scores
Market1-010%1-111%2-011%2-110%0-0—3-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-013%1-112%2-010%2-110%0-08%3-0—0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-010%1-013%1-11-111%1-112%2-02-011%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-0—0-08%3-03-07%3-0—0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat82%79%79%
Over 1.5 goals79%72%72%
12 – no draw78%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals68%75%75%
1 – Lexington SC win60%54% · Elo 60%54%· Elo 60%
Over 2.5 goals54%46%46%
Both teams to score: yes53%48%48%
Both teams to score: no47%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals46%54%54%
X2 – away team avoid defeat40%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals32%25%25%
X – draw22%26% · Elo 22%26%· Elo 22%
Under 1.5 goals21%28%28%
2 – Monterey Bay FC win18%21% · Elo 18%21%· Elo 18%
Attack vs defence
Lexington SC attack vs Monterey Bay FC defenceattack1496defence1431+65 pts to the attack
Monterey Bay FC attack vs Lexington SC defenceattack1364defence1481−117 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

Western Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Lexington SC281351049:3344
12Monterey Bay FC28561730:5021
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lexington SC vs Monterey Bay FC?

Lexington SC 3-2 Monterey Bay FC (half time 2-2).

Did the Lexington SC vs Monterey Bay FC tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 9.5. The tip lost.