Monterey Bay FC 2-3 Lexington SC: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Cardinale Stadium, Monterey, CA

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost56%

under 4.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (54% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon59%

    goals at both ends in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost38%

under 3.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (34% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMonterey Bay FC133127%24%Draw25%26%Lexington SC153248%51%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%51%O2.556%46%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Lexington SC3:2Monterey Bay FCL
  2. Lexington SC3:1Monterey Bay FCL
  3. Monterey Bay FC2:1Lexington SCW
  4. Lexington SC0:0Monterey Bay FCD
Monterey Bay FC's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.2over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 17
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.4under 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 5
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.7total 2.9Attack/defence1.1 : 1.4total 2.5
Monterey Bay FC : Lexington SC
Most likely scores
Market1-112%0-18%1-29%1-0—0-0—0-28%2-17%Attack/defence1-113%0-111%1-29%1-09%0-09%0-28%2-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-18%0-111%1-21-29%1-29%1-01-0—1-09%0-00-0—0-09%0-20-28%0-28%2-12-17%2-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%71%71%
12 – no draw75%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat73%69%69%
Under 3.5 goals66%76%76%
Both teams to score: yes59%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals56%46%46%
1X – home team avoid defeat52%59%59%
2 – Lexington SC win48%42% · Elo 51%42%· Elo 51%
Under 2.5 goals44%54%54%
Both teams to score: no41%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals34%24%24%
1 – Monterey Bay FC win27%31% · Elo 24%31%· Elo 24%
X – draw25%28% · Elo 26%28%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals20%29%29%
Attack vs defence
Monterey Bay FC attack vs Lexington SC defenceattack1368defence1489−121 pts to the attack
Lexington SC attack vs Monterey Bay FC defenceattack1540defence1432+108 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Monterey Bay FC concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Monterey Bay FC: no win in 11 matches
  • Monterey Bay FC: only 3 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Monterey Bay FC: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Lexington SC: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Western Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Lexington SC281351049:3344
12Monterey Bay FC28561730:5021
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Monterey Bay FC vs Lexington SC?

Monterey Bay FC 2-3 Lexington SC (half time 1-1).

Did the Monterey Bay FC vs Lexington SC tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.