Sporting Jax 3-2 Lexington SC: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Hodges Stadium, Jacksonville, FL

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won61%

our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won38%

over 3.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 10 (30% of league matches); our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSporting Jax136026%33%Draw23%28%Lexington SC153251%39%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%58%O2.561%54%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.4both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.1under 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.5league 4.5under 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 2
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.9total 3.2Attack/defence1.4 : 1.4total 2.9
Sporting Jax : Lexington SC
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-210%2-17%0-28%0-17%1-0—0-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-28%2-18%0-2—0-18%1-08%0-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-210%1-28%2-12-17%2-18%0-20-28%0-2—0-10-17%0-18%1-01-0—1-08%0-00-0—0-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%78%78%
12 – no draw77%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat74%63%63%
Under 3.5 goals62%68%68%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals61%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes61%58%58%
2 – Lexington SC win51%38% · Elo 39%38%· Elo 39%
1X – home team avoid defeat49%63%63%
Under 2.5 goals39%46%46%
Both teams to score: no39%42%42%
Over 3.5 goals38%32%32%
1 – Sporting Jax win26%37% · Elo 33%37%· Elo 33%
X – draw23%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals17%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Sporting Jax attack vs Lexington SC defenceattack1487defence14870 pts to the attack
Lexington SC attack vs Sporting Jax defenceattack1489defence1351+138 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sporting Jax concede 3.0 goals per game
  • Sporting Jax: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Sporting Jax: newly promoted
  • Sporting Jax: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Lexington SC: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Sporting JaxEastern Conference27351932:7314
4Lexington SCWestern Conference281351049:3344
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sporting Jax vs Lexington SC?

Sporting Jax 3-2 Lexington SC (half time 1-0).

Did the Sporting Jax vs Lexington SC tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.