Sporting Jax 0-1 Indy Eleven: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Hodges Stadium, Jacksonville, FL

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost59%

our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost37%

over 3.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 2 of the visitors' last 10 (30% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSporting Jax136027%40%Draw25%28%Indy Eleven142848%33%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%61%O2.559%59%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.5not both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Indy Eleven2:1Sporting JaxL
Sporting Jax's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.2under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.5under 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 4
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.8total 3.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.5total 3.0
Sporting Jax : Indy Eleven
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-17%1-0—0-17%0-27%2-2—Attack/defence1-111%1-28%2-19%1-07%0-17%0-2—2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-17%2-19%1-01-0—1-07%0-10-17%0-17%0-20-27%0-2—2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%81%81%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat73%61%61%
Under 3.5 goals63%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes61%61%61%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals59%59%59%
1X – home team avoid defeat52%63%63%
2 – Indy Eleven win48%37% · Elo 33%37%· Elo 33%
Under 2.5 goals41%42%42%
Both teams to score: no39%39%39%
Over 3.5 goals37%36%36%
1 – Sporting Jax win27%39% · Elo 40%39%· Elo 40%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals18%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Sporting Jax attack vs Indy Eleven defenceattack1488defence1437+51 pts to the attack
Indy Eleven attack vs Sporting Jax defenceattack1525defence1360+165 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sporting Jax concede 3.1 goals per game
  • Sporting Jax: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Sporting Jax: newly promoted
  • Sporting Jax: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Indy Eleven: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Indy Eleven28971234:3634
13Sporting Jax27351932:7314
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sporting Jax vs Indy Eleven?

Sporting Jax 0-1 Indy Eleven (half time 0-0).

Did the Sporting Jax vs Indy Eleven tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.