Atmane vs Matsuda 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 62% → with the players' profiles 73%
Over 17.5 games in recent matches: Atmane 19 of 20, Matsuda 16 of 20 (tour average 80%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 31% → with the players' profiles 36%
Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Atmane 13 of 20, Matsuda 13 of 20 (tour average 49%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: T. Atmane 90% · K. Matsuda 10%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 83% | 17% | 88% |
| 17.5 | 73% | 27% | 80% |
| 18.5 | 63% | 38% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 53% | 47% | 63% |
| 20.5 | 43% | 57% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 36% | 64% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 31% | 69% | 42% |
Sample: 1,418 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 19.5in · 25 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Terence Atmane | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aces | 3 |
| 11 | Double faults | 2 |
| 51% | First serves in | 59% |
| 73% | First-serve points won | 58% |
| 49% | Second-serve points won | 43% |
| 5/12 | Break points converted | 2/10 |
| 11/13 | Service games held | 7/12 |
| 61% | Service points won | 52% |
| 48% | Return points won | 39% |
| 89 | Total points won | 72 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Atmane | Tour | K. Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 31% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 14% | 24% | 19% |
| Aces per service game | 0.60 | 0.52 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.17 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 22% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 15/28 | 14/19 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 57% | |
| Matches in the sample | 51 | 37 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Terence Atmane
- 23/10/26LDaniil Medvedev#5ATP Almaty · QF4:6 4:6
- 22/10/26WMattia Bellucci#66ATP Almaty · R166:7 7:6 7:6
- 20/10/26WRinky Hijikata#85ATP Almaty · R327:6 6:2
- 05/10/26LBernard Tomic#179ATP Shanghai · Q13:6 6:4 3:5
- 30/09/26LElias Ymer#227Challenger Jingshan · R326:4 5:7 5:5
- 29/09/26WEnzo Aguiard#438Challenger Jingshan · Q26:4 6:4
- 28/09/26WDominik Palan#603Challenger Jingshan · Q16:1 6:4
- 24/09/26LJaime Faria#57ATP Hangzhou · R326:3 6:7 4:6
- 30/08/26LJaume Munar#65ATP US Open · R1287:6 6:3 1:6 6:7 5:7
- 17/08/26LAlexander Zverev#2ATP Cincinnati · R326:7 6:7
Koki Matsuda
- 26/10/26LBeibit Zhukayev#528Challenger Seoul · Q24:6 6:7
- 25/10/26WGeun Jun Kim#920Challenger Seoul · Q17:6 6:4
- 20/10/26LYi Zhou#256Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R321:6 3:6
- 19/10/26WOmar Jasika#386Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q26:4 7:6
- 18/10/26WMillen Hurrion#502Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:3 4:6 7:6
- 06/10/26LEvan Zhu#462Challenger Wuning 3 · R323:6 3:6
- 28/09/26LKeisuke Saitoh#481Challenger Jingshan · Q13:6 2:6
- 15/09/26LArthur Weber#398Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R321:6 2:6
- 10/09/26LPhilip Sekulic#338Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R162:6 6:4 5:7
- 08/09/26WMartin Borisiouk#724Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R327:5 7:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Atmane | K. Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–1946% | 21–1755% |
| Clay | 4–736% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 1–420% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Terence Atmane
First match in this tournament.
Koki Matsuda
- 25/10/26WGeun Jun Kim#920Challenger Seoul · Q17:6 6:4
- 26/10/26LBeibit Zhukayev#528Challenger Seoul · Q24:6 6:7