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Challenger OrleansChallenger 175Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Bellucci vs Rolland de Ravel 2:0: result and our tips

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Mattia BellucciATP #62Elo 1951hard 1925
2:0final6:1 7:6(5)
Cosme Rolland de RavelATP #576Elo 1712hard 1692

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Bellucci 2-0Won57%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Bellucci won 2-0 in 13 of the last 20 matches, Rolland de Ravel lost 0-2 in 4 of the last 13 matches (tour average 33%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Won59%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 61% → with the players' profiles 59%

    Bellucci: 4 matches in a row under 22.5 games

  • Match Winner: BellucciWon79%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 79%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Bellucci won 8 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Tie-break in Match: YesWon34%

Where the number comes from: market alone 29% → with the players' profiles 34%

Rolland de Ravel: 3 matches in a row with a tie-break; A tie-break in recent matches: Bellucci 7 of 20, Rolland de Ravel 7 of 13 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mattia Bellucci78%
Cosme Rolland de Ravel22%

Elo: M. Bellucci 79% · C. Rolland de Ravel 21%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Bellucci56%
2:1 M. Bellucci22%
2:1 C. Rolland de Ravel10%
2:0 C. Rolland de Ravel12%

First set

Mattia Bellucci72%
Cosme Rolland de Ravel28%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no69%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%71%
19.564%36%62%
20.555%45%54%
21.548%52%49%
22.542%59%42%
23.536%64%37%
24.533%67%35%

Sample: 3,432 matches

Games handicap

M. Bellucci −4.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.0out · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Mattia BellucciCosme Rolland de Ravel
12Aces4
3Double faults2
64%First serves in58%
88%First-serve points won70%
58%Second-serve points won39%
3/6Break points converted0/1
9/9Service games held7/10
77%Service points won57%
43%Return points won23%
75Total points won57

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. BellucciTourC. Rolland de Ravel
Service points won66%62%64%
Return points won37%38%40%
Service games held83%76%82%
Breaks of serve22%24%27%
Aces per service game0.580.41
Double faults per game0.240.32
Sets with a tie-break18%23%
Tie-breaks won15/302/7
Wins in straight sets74%56%
Matches in the sample7313

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mattia Bellucci

Cosme Rolland de Ravel

Elo over the last year

Mattia BellucciCosme Rolland de Ravel

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. BellucciC. Rolland de Ravel
Hard court31–1962%3–175%
Clay7–750%6–367%
Grass5–456%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Mattia Bellucci

First match in this tournament.

Cosme Rolland de Ravel

Upcoming matches

See also