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Challenger MonastirChallenger 50Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Blanch vs Giustino: prediction and tips

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Dali BlanchATP #321Elo 1602hard 1547
-:-awaiting result
Lorenzo GiustinoATP #289Elo 1697hard 1662

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: No71%

Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 71%

Blanch: 11 matches in a row without a tie-break

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 20.557%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 60% → with the players' profiles 57%

    Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Blanch 11 of 20, Giustino 14 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Long shot
Total Sets: Over 2.538%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

A third set in recent matches: Blanch 9 of 20, Giustino 11 of 20 (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dali Blanch41%
Lorenzo Giustino59%

Elo: D. Blanch 34% · L. Giustino 66%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Blanch24%
2:1 D. Blanch17%
2:1 L. Giustino21%
2:0 L. Giustino38%

First set

Dali Blanch43%
Lorenzo Giustino57%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 56%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%71%
19.564%36%62%
20.557%43%54%
21.551%49%49%
22.544%56%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 6,171 matches

Games handicap

L. Giustino −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. BlanchTourL. Giustino
Service points won61%62%60%
Return points won42%38%39%
Service games held75%76%74%
Breaks of serve32%24%26%
Aces per service game0.410.35
Double faults per game0.270.29
Sets with a tie-break15%16%
Tie-breaks won10/2114/26
Wins in straight sets73%56%
Matches in the sample6066

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dali Blanch

Lorenzo Giustino

Elo over the last year

Dali BlanchLorenzo Giustino

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. BlanchL. Giustino
Hard court5–742%10–953%
Clay28–2058%24–2252%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Dali Blanch

Lorenzo Giustino

Upcoming matches