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WTA 125 LuandaFinalhardbest of three sets

Blinkova vs Lansere 1:2: result and our tips

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Anna BlinkovaWTA #105Elo 1799hard 1786
1:2final7:5 1:6 4:6
Sofya LansereWTA #266Elo 1586hard 1619

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Lansere: 9 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Match Winner: BlinkovaLost75%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 75%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Blinkova won 8 of the last 10 matches; Blinkova: 4 wins in a row

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Won33%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Blinkova: 3 matches in a row over 23.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Anna Blinkova74%
Sofya Lansere26%

Elo: A. Blinkova 72% · S. Lansere 28%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Blinkova51%
2:1 A. Blinkova19%
2:1 S. Lansere14%
2:0 S. Lansere17%

First set

Anna Blinkova66%
Sofya Lansere34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%70%
18.563%37%61%
19.555%45%53%
20.548%52%46%
21.541%60%41%
22.537%63%36%
23.533%67%33%

Sample: 1,794 matches

Games handicap

A. Blinkova −4.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 20.5out · 29 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Anna BlinkovaSofya Lansere
1Aces0
9Double faults16
66%First serves in55%
43%First-serve points won57%
43%Second-serve points won38%
7/10Break points converted10/17
5/15Service games held7/14
43%Service points won49%
51%Return points won57%
101Total points won113

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. BlinkovaTourS. Lansere
Service points won55%56%53%
Return points won46%44%49%
Service games held60%63%58%
Breaks of serve42%37%44%
Aces per service game0.150.21
Double faults per game0.340.53
Sets with a tie-break9%9%
Tie-breaks won10/152/3
Wins in straight sets67%88%
Matches in the sample7116

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Anna Blinkova

Sofya Lansere

Elo over the last year

Anna BlinkovaSofya Lansere

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. BlinkovaS. Lansere
Hard court25–1957%6–367%
Clay8–947%2–529%
Grass6–460%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Anna Blinkova

Sofya Lansere

Upcoming matches