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WTA 125 SopoRound of 32claybest of three sets

Bronzetti vs Pareja: prediction and tips

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Lucia BronzettiWTA #136Elo 1632clay 1656
-:-awaiting result
Julieta ParejaWTA #204Elo 1661clay 1625

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.560%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Bronzetti: 4 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Pareja65%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 65%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Bronzetti lost 8 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 21.549%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Bronzetti: 4 matches in a row over 21.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lucia Bronzetti37%
Julieta Pareja63%

Elo: L. Bronzetti 54% · J. Pareja 46%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Bronzetti25%
2:1 L. Bronzetti17%
2:1 J. Pareja22%
2:0 J. Pareja37%

First set

Lucia Bronzetti46%
Julieta Pareja54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%59%
19.560%40%51%
20.553%48%45%
21.549%51%41%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,522 matches

Games handicap

J. Pareja −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. BronzettiTourJ. Pareja
Service points won55%56%57%
Return points won46%44%43%
Service games held61%63%68%
Breaks of serve41%37%34%
Aces per service game0.150.18
Double faults per game0.260.43
Sets with a tie-break10%7%
Tie-breaks won8/130/2
Wins in straight sets60%83%
Matches in the sample5612

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lucia Bronzetti

Julieta Pareja

Elo over the last year

Lucia BronzettiJulieta Pareja

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. BronzettiJ. Pareja
Hard court4–931%5–456%
Clay24–1660%1–233%
Grass2–167%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also