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ATP Basel500Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Cerúndolo vs Altmaier 2:0: result and our tips

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Juan Manuel CerúndoloATP #54Elo 1940hard 1857
2:0final7:6(9) 6:3
Daniel AltmaierATP #60Elo 1906hard 1851

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 25.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: market alone 61% → with the players' profiles 59%

Under 25.5 games in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 21.5Lost38%

Where the number comes from: market alone 40% → with the players' profiles 38%

Cerundolo: 4 matches in a row under 21.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Juan Manuel Cerúndolo44%
Daniel Altmaier56%

Elo: J. Cerúndolo 51% · D. Altmaier 49%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Cerúndolo25%
2:1 J. Cerúndolo20%
2:1 D. Altmaier21%
2:0 D. Altmaier35%

First set

Juan Manuel Cerúndolo46%
Daniel Altmaier55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 55%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.568%32%60%
21.562%38%54%
22.555%45%46%
23.547%53%40%
24.544%56%38%
25.541%59%35%
26.536%64%30%

Sample: 5,746 matches

Games handicap

D. Altmaier −1.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes46%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.5out · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Juan Manuel CerúndoloDaniel Altmaier
4Aces5
3Double faults2
69%First serves in73%
86%First-serve points won71%
55%Second-serve points won63%
1/3Break points converted0/2
11/11Service games held9/10
76%Service points won69%
31%Return points won24%
76Total points won66

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. CerúndoloTourD. Altmaier
Service points won63%62%63%
Return points won37%38%35%
Service games held78%76%78%
Breaks of serve23%24%19%
Aces per service game0.430.58
Double faults per game0.230.24
Sets with a tie-break17%19%
Tie-breaks won13/2813/27
Wins in straight sets57%57%
Matches in the sample6460

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Juan Manuel Cerúndolo

Daniel Altmaier

Elo over the last year

Juan Manuel CerúndoloDaniel Altmaier

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. CerúndoloD. Altmaier
Hard court12–1152%11–1542%
Clay23–1561%13–1350%
Grass2–250%4–450%

Head to head

J. Cerúndolo 3–1 D. Altmaier

  • 23/04/26Winner: J. Cerúndolo6:4 6:4
  • 10/02/26Winner: J. Cerúndolo6:2 6:2
  • 04/09/21Winner: J. Cerúndolo6:4 3:0
  • 16/02/21Winner: D. Altmaier6:4 2:6 1:6

Road through the tournament

Juan Manuel Cerúndolo

Daniel Altmaier

See also