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Challenger KnoxvilleChallenger 75Semifinalhard, indoorbest of three sets

Chidekh vs Zheng 2:1: result and our tips

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Clement ChidekhATP #129Elo 1880hard 1872
2:1final3:6 6:3 7:5
Michael ZhengATP #100Elo 1863hard 1836

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 25.5Lost65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Chidekh: 12 matches in a row under 25.5 games

Long shot
Set Betting: Chidekh 2-0Lost35%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Chidekh won 2-0 in 14 of the last 20 matches, Zheng lost 0-2 in 7 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Clement Chidekh56%
Michael Zheng44%

Elo: C. Chidekh 55% · M. Zheng 45%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Chidekh36%
2:1 C. Chidekh21%
2:1 M. Zheng18%
2:0 M. Zheng26%

First set

Clement Chidekh55%
Michael Zheng45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%71%
19.566%34%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.553%47%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%

Sample: 5,944 matches

Games handicap

C. Chidekh −1.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 30 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Clement ChidekhMichael Zheng
4Aces7
2Double faults6
71%First serves in53%
73%First-serve points won74%
54%Second-serve points won49%
2/10Break points converted1/7
14/15Service games held13/15
67%Service points won62%
38%Return points won33%
106Total points won100

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. ChidekhTourM. Zheng
Service points won64%62%63%
Return points won42%38%40%
Service games held78%76%78%
Breaks of serve31%24%28%
Aces per service game0.300.45
Double faults per game0.250.21
Sets with a tie-break14%18%
Tie-breaks won16/258/25
Wins in straight sets71%56%
Matches in the sample7654

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Clement Chidekh

Michael Zheng

Elo over the last year

Clement ChidekhMichael Zheng

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. ChidekhM. Zheng
Hard court44–1772%26–1563%
Clay1–325%3–260%
Grass6–555%5–363%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Clement Chidekh

Michael Zheng

Upcoming matches

See also