Challenger MetzChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Bobichon vs Blanchet: prediction and tips

Sunday 15 November · 12:30

Matisse BobichonATP #517Elo 1691hard 1685

-:-

Ugo BlanchetATP #334Elo 1680hard 1690

Our tips

Tip in 9h 19m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Matisse Bobichon26%

Ugo Blanchet74%

Elo: M. Bobichon 49% · U. Blanchet 51%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Bobichon15%

2:1 M. Bobichon12%

2:1 U. Blanchet22%

2:0 U. Blanchet52%

First set

Matisse Bobichon32%

Ugo Blanchet68%

Full distance (3rd set)

yes34%

no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 47%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games

Line	Over	Under	Tour over
19.5	69%	31%	62%
20.5	61%	40%	54%
21.5	53%	47%	49%
22.5	47%	53%	42%
23.5	41%	60%	37%
24.5	36%	64%	35%
25.5	34%	66%	32%

Sample: 4,192 matches

Games handicap

U. Blanchet −3.556%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes40%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

	M. Bobichon	Tour	U. Blanchet
Service points won	64%	62%	65%
Return points won	36%	38%	35%
Service games held	82%	76%	81%
Breaks of serve	20%	24%	19%
Aces per service game	0.54		0.45
Double faults per game	0.29		0.22
Sets with a tie-break	17%		23%
Tie-breaks won	5/9		14/29
Wins in straight sets	60%		62%
Matches in the sample	24		55

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Matisse Bobichon

28/10/26LOtto Virtanen#127Challenger Brest · R166:7 4:6
27/10/26WMichael Geerts#356Challenger Brest · R327:6 6:3
26/10/26WLucas Poullain#316Challenger Brest · Q26:3 1:6 7:6
25/10/26WYannik Kelm#430Challenger Brest · Q13:6 6:3 7:5
15/10/26LFelix Balshaw#175Challenger Roanne · R163:6 4:6
14/10/26WBilly Harris#227Challenger Roanne · R327:5 7:6
27/09/26LDurasovic#498Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q14:6 4:6
18/09/26LTristan Schoolkate#144Challenger Rennes · QF2:6 1:6
17/09/26WAdrian Mannarino#61Challenger Rennes · R166:3 7:5
15/09/26WEliakim Coulibaly#342Challenger Rennes · R326:4 6:4

Ugo Blanchet

09/11/26LBuvaysar Gadamauri#269Challenger Orleans · Q17:6 2:6 5:7
08/11/26WAdan Freire Da SilvaChallenger Orleans · Q16:1 7:6
29/10/26LMartin Damm Jr#102Challenger Brest · R164:6 6:7
27/10/26WFelix Balshaw#175Challenger Brest · R323:6 6:3 6:4
26/10/26WVadym Ursu#443Challenger Brest · Q27:5 6:2
25/10/26WSamir Hamza Reguig#712Challenger Brest · Q16:3 6:1
18/10/26LNicolai Budkov Kjaer#178ATP Lyon · Q16:3 1:6 3:6
15/10/26LJerome Kym#143Challenger Roanne · R161:6 3:6
13/10/26WTom Paris#769Challenger Roanne · R327:6 6:3
12/10/26WDaniel de Jonge#564Challenger Roanne · Q26:4 6:3

Elo over the last year

Matisse BobichonUgo Blanchet

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

	M. Bobichon	U. Blanchet
Hard court	15–963%	23–1955%
Clay	0–0	3–827%
Grass	0–0	0–20%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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