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Challenger SydneyChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Sach vs Pham: prediction and tips

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Tai Leonard SachATP #502Elo 1392hard 1387
-:-
Derek PhamElo 1387hard 1384

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: Pham61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 61%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Sach lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Tai Leonard Sach39%
Derek Pham61%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Sach23%
2:1 T. Sach16%
2:1 D. Pham21%
2:0 D. Pham39%

First set

Tai Leonard Sach42%
Derek Pham58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 6,160 matches

Games handicap

D. Pham −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. SachTourD. Pham
Service points won59%62%—
Return points won37%38%—
Service games held71%76%—
Breaks of serve22%24%—
Aces per service game0.42—
Double faults per game0.26—
Sets with a tie-break10%—
Tie-breaks won2/6—
Wins in straight sets50%—
Matches in the sample24—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tai Leonard Sach

  • 09/11/26LThomas Fancutt#690Challenger Brisbane 3 · Q23:6 5:7
  • 08/11/26WZane StevensChallenger Brisbane 3 · Q16:4 6:4
  • 15/09/26LFilip Peliwo#618Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R326:1 3:6 4:6
  • 10/09/26LArthur Weber#433Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R160:6 0:6
  • 08/09/26WThanh Minh TruongChallenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:1 6:3
  • 10/08/26LLucio Ratti#372Challenger Astana · R323:6 3:6
  • 19/04/26LHayato Matsuoka#246Challenger Gwangju · Q15:7 2:6
  • 15/04/26LFajing Sun#297Challenger Wuning 2 · R322:6 1:6
  • 13/04/26LKhumoyun Sultanov#414Challenger Wuning 2 · Q26:7 3:6
  • 12/04/26WLinghao ZhangChallenger Wuning 2 · Q16:2 6:4

Derek Pham

  • 08/11/26LPavle Marinkov#679Challenger Brisbane 3 · Q13:6 6:1 3:6
  • 28/12/24LRichard GasquetATP Brisbane · Q11:6 2:6
  • 09/01/23LPeter GojowczykATP Australian Open · Q12:6 2:6

Elo over the last year

Tai Leonard SachDerek Pham

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. SachD. Pham
Hard court10–1540%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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