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Challenger KobeChallenger 75Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Matsuda vs Sun: prediction and tips

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Ryuki MatsudaATP #661Elo 1363hard 1360
-:-
Fajing SunATP #297Elo 1605hard 1599

Our tips

Tip in 22h 39m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Ryuki Matsuda26%
Fajing Sun75%

Elo: R. Matsuda 20% · F. Sun 80%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Matsuda14%
2:1 R. Matsuda11%
2:1 F. Sun22%
2:0 F. Sun52%

First set

Ryuki Matsuda32%
Fajing Sun68%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%71%
19.563%37%62%
20.555%45%54%
21.549%51%49%
22.543%58%42%
23.537%64%37%
24.535%66%35%

Sample: 4,102 matches

Games handicap

F. Sun −4.544%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. MatsudaTourF. Sun
Service points won59%62%64%
Return points won37%38%37%
Service games held72%76%78%
Breaks of serve23%24%24%
Aces per service game0.220.32
Double faults per game0.140.14
Sets with a tie-break8%15%
Tie-breaks won1/48/22
Wins in straight sets88%56%
Matches in the sample2363

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ryuki Matsuda

  • 10/11/26LMax Schoenhaus#306Challenger Matsuyama · R323:6 4:6
  • 09/11/26WMasamichi Imamura#439Challenger Matsuyama · Q26:3 7:5
  • 08/11/26WTaisei Ichikawa#759Challenger Matsuyama · Q16:3 6:2
  • 25/10/26LNaoya Honda#588Challenger Ningbo · Q13:6 3:6
  • 05/10/26LYuta Kikuchi#913Challenger Wuning 3 · Q22:6 3:6
  • 04/10/26WSergey BetovChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:4 6:1
  • 15/09/26LMoise Kouame#132Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R321:6 3:6
  • 14/09/26WTaiyo Yamanaka#764Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q26:4 6:4
  • 13/09/26WMinh Phat NguyenChallenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q16:4 6:2
  • 18/05/26LYusuke Takahashi#795Challenger Bengaluru 3 · R324:6 2:6

Fajing Sun

Elo over the last year

Ryuki MatsudaFajing Sun

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. MatsudaF. Sun
Hard court8–1535%29–2752%
Clay0–03–350%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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