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Challenger KobeChallenger 75Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

McDonald vs Smith: prediction and tips

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Niels McDonaldATP #472Elo 1535hard 1480
-:-
Keegan SmithATP #189Elo 1628hard 1607

Our tips

Tip in 22h 39m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Niels McDonald32%
Keegan Smith68%

Elo: N. McDonald 32% · K. Smith 68%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. McDonald19%
2:1 N. McDonald14%
2:1 K. Smith22%
2:0 K. Smith45%

First set

Niels McDonald37%
Keegan Smith63%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%38%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,373 matches

Games handicap

K. Smith −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes40%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. McDonaldTourK. Smith
Service points won59%62%67%
Return points won37%38%34%
Service games held70%76%85%
Breaks of serve22%24%16%
Aces per service game0.250.62
Double faults per game0.310.15
Sets with a tie-break9%26%
Tie-breaks won2/621/43
Wins in straight sets60%54%
Matches in the sample3066

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Niels McDonald

Keegan Smith

Elo over the last year

Niels McDonaldKeegan Smith

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. McDonaldK. Smith
Hard court3–827%25–2451%
Clay7–1237%6–367%
Grass0–04–450%

Head to head

N. McDonald 1–0 K. Smith

  • 07/07/26Winner: N. McDonald6:1 6:3

Upcoming matches

See also