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Challenger OrleansChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Gadamauri vs Blanchet 2:1: result and our tips

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Buvaysar GadamauriATP #269Elo 1718hard 1682
2:1final6:7(6) 6:2 7:5
Ugo BlanchetATP #334Elo 1694hard 1708

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.5Won56%

Where the number comes from: market alone 54% → with the players' profiles 56%

Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Gadamauri 14 of 20, Blanchet 10 of 20 (tour average 49%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: BlanchetLost63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 63%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Blanchet won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Won44%

Where the number comes from: market alone 41% → with the players' profiles 44%

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Gadamauri 11 of 20, Blanchet 8 of 20 (tour average 37%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Buvaysar Gadamauri35%
Ugo Blanchet65%

Elo: B. Gadamauri 46% · U. Blanchet 54%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 B. Gadamauri20%
2:1 B. Gadamauri15%
2:1 U. Blanchet22%
2:0 U. Blanchet43%

First set

Buvaysar Gadamauri39%
Ugo Blanchet61%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 50%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%30%62%
20.562%38%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.550%50%42%
23.544%57%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,690 matches

Games handicap

U. Blanchet −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes41%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 33 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Buvaysar GadamauriUgo Blanchet
13Aces8
3Double faults4
65%First serves in55%
74%First-serve points won83%
55%Second-serve points won49%
4/8Break points converted1/7
15/16Service games held12/16
67%Service points won67%
33%Return points won33%
103Total points won99

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

B. GadamauriTourU. Blanchet
Service points won64%62%65%
Return points won38%38%35%
Service games held80%76%81%
Breaks of serve26%24%19%
Aces per service game0.340.45
Double faults per game0.230.22
Sets with a tie-break18%22%
Tie-breaks won15/2513/28
Wins in straight sets70%62%
Matches in the sample6055

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Buvaysar Gadamauri

Ugo Blanchet

Elo over the last year

Buvaysar GadamauriUgo Blanchet

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

B. GadamauriU. Blanchet
Hard court20–1263%23–1955%
Clay17–1161%3–827%
Grass0–00–20%

Head to head

B. Gadamauri 0–1 U. Blanchet

  • 26/02/26Winner: U. Blanchet6:7 3:6

Road through the tournament

Buvaysar Gadamauri

Ugo Blanchet

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