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Challenger OrleansChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Freire Da Silva vs Blanchet 0:2: result and our tips

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Adan Freire Da SilvaElo 1428hard 1424
0:2final1:6 6:7(6)
Ugo BlanchetATP #334Elo 1688hard 1703

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Adan Freire Da Silva5%
Ugo Blanchet95%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Freire Da Silva4%
2:1 A. Freire Da Silva2%
2:1 U. Blanchet14%
2:0 U. Blanchet80%

First set

Adan Freire Da Silva13%
Ugo Blanchet87%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes16%
no84%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 18.5 · 55%market (no margin): 45%

The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 19.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
14.587%13%97%
15.577%23%94%
16.566%34%88%
17.555%45%80%
18.545%55%71%
19.536%64%63%
20.529%71%55%

Sample: 1,163 matches

Games handicap

U. Blanchet −6.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes17%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 18.5out · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Adan Freire Da SilvaUgo Blanchet
2Aces6
3Double faults1
64%First serves in60%
72%First-serve points won86%
38%Second-serve points won65%
0/0Break points converted2/8
7/9Service games held10/10
60%Service points won78%
22%Return points won40%
53Total points won72

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. Freire Da SilvaTourU. Blanchet
Service points won61%62%65%
Return points won40%38%35%
Service games held72%76%81%
Breaks of serve29%24%19%
Aces per service game0.460.45
Double faults per game0.250.22
Sets with a tie-break0%21%
Tie-breaks won0/012/27
Wins in straight sets100%60%
Matches in the sample354

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Adan Freire Da Silva

  • 25/10/26LVadym Ursu#414Challenger Brest · Q13:6 6:3 4:6
  • 15/06/26LGerard Campana Lee#445Challenger Royan · Q23:6 3:6
  • 14/06/26WJordan CoudretChallenger Royan · Q16:2 6:0

Ugo Blanchet

  • 29/10/26LMartin Damm Jr#102Challenger Brest · R164:6 6:7
  • 27/10/26WFelix Balshaw#180Challenger Brest · R323:6 6:3 6:4
  • 26/10/26WVadym Ursu#414Challenger Brest · Q27:5 6:2
  • 25/10/26WSamir Hamza Reguig#709Challenger Brest · Q16:3 6:1
  • 18/10/26LNicolai Budkov Kjaer#182ATP Lyon · Q16:3 1:6 3:6
  • 15/10/26LJerome Kym#164Challenger Roanne · R161:6 3:6
  • 13/10/26WTom Paris#764Challenger Roanne · R327:6 6:3
  • 12/10/26WDaniel de Jonge#569Challenger Roanne · Q26:4 6:3
  • 11/10/26WNicolas Tepmahc#645Challenger Roanne · Q16:2 6:1
  • 01/10/26LClement Chidekh#131Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R164:6 6:3 2:6

Elo over the last year

Adan Freire Da SilvaUgo Blanchet

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. Freire Da SilvaU. Blanchet
Hard court0–10%22–1954%
Clay1–150%3–827%
Grass0–00–20%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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