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Challenger NingboChallenger 75Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Cui vs Bar Biryukov 1:2: result and our tips

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Jie CuiATP #367Elo 1676hard 1666
1:2final6:4 4:6 1:6
Petr Bar BiryukovATP #268Elo 1620hard 1637

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: CuiWon67%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Cui won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Bar Biryukov lost the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%); Cui: 6 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jie Cui73%
Petr Bar Biryukov27%

Elo: J. Cui 54% · P. Bar Biryukov 46%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Cui50%
2:1 J. Cui22%
2:1 P. Bar Biryukov12%
2:0 P. Bar Biryukov16%

First set

Jie Cui67%
Petr Bar Biryukov33%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%29%62%
20.563%37%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.537%63%35%
25.535%65%32%

Sample: 4,320 matches

Games handicap

J. Cui −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes44%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 27 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Jie CuiPetr Bar Biryukov
7Aces15
2Double faults4
63%First serves in71%
70%First-serve points won73%
47%Second-serve points won65%
1/1Break points converted3/10
10/13Service games held13/14
61%Service points won71%
29%Return points won39%
80Total points won92

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. CuiTourP. Bar Biryukov
Service points won64%62%64%
Return points won36%38%32%
Service games held80%76%80%
Breaks of serve23%24%16%
Aces per service game0.430.83
Double faults per game0.180.41
Sets with a tie-break25%22%
Tie-breaks won9/2016/28
Wins in straight sets82%54%
Matches in the sample3553

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jie Cui

Petr Bar Biryukov

Elo over the last year

Jie CuiPetr Bar Biryukov

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. CuiP. Bar Biryukov
Hard court17–1750%24–2055%
Clay0–10%2–529%
Grass0–00–20%

Head to head

J. Cui 1–0 P. Bar Biryukov

  • 13/08/26Winner: J. Cui6:4 6:2

Road through the tournament

Jie Cui

Petr Bar Biryukov

See also