Dodig vs Cecchinato 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 71%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Dodig won 9 of the last 10 matches
Other tips
- 1st Set Winner: DodigWon65%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Dodig: 5 matches in a row winning the first set
Where the number comes from: market alone 44% → with the players' profiles 42%
Cecchinato: 3 matches in a row under 20.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Dodig 70% · M. Cecchinato 30%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 75% | 25% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 66% | 34% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 52% | 48% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 34% |
Sample: 3,779 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 21.5in · 25 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Matej Dodig | Marco Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aces | 3 |
| 0 | Double faults | 4 |
| 58% | First serves in | 69% |
| 75% | First-serve points won | 57% |
| 56% | Second-serve points won | 41% |
| 6/12 | Break points converted | 2/3 |
| 10/12 | Service games held | 7/13 |
| 67% | Service points won | 52% |
| 48% | Return points won | 33% |
| 95 | Total points won | 73 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Dodig | Tour | M. Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.54 | 0.25 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 18% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 17/29 | 16/32 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 72% | |
| Matches in the sample | 73 | 78 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Matej Dodig
- 20/10/26WJoao Domingues#578Challenger Lisbon · R326:1 6:3
- 17/10/26LFrancesco Passaro#146Challenger Maia · SF7:5 1:6 4:6
- 16/10/26WTristan Boyer#200Challenger Maia · QF6:4 7:6
- 15/10/26WLukas Neumayer#168Challenger Maia · R166:4 4:6 6:3
- 14/10/26WPedro Martinez#125Challenger Maia · R326:2 6:1
- 11/10/26WElmer Moller#163Challenger Braga · F3:6 6:3 6:2
- 10/10/26WLukas Neumayer#168Challenger Braga · SF6:3 6:1
- 09/10/26WMarvin Moeller#226Challenger Braga · QF6:2 6:3
- 08/10/26WMiguel Damas#342Challenger Braga · R166:4 6:1
- 07/10/26WAndrea Pellegrino#144Challenger Braga · R326:3 3:6 6:1
Marco Cecchinato
- 19/10/26WVilius Gaubas#142Challenger Lisbon · R326:4 6:3
- 13/10/26LPedro Vives Marcos#546Challenger Catania · R324:6 4:6
- 07/10/26LOlle Wallin#413Challenger Braga · R326:7 0:6
- 18/09/26LMarco Trungelliti#90Challenger Szczecin · QF6:7 5:7
- 17/09/26WMarvin Moeller#226Challenger Szczecin · R167:6 6:7 6:2
- 15/09/26WHenri Squire#292Challenger Szczecin · R327:5 6:3
- 07/09/26LLaslo Djere#136Challenger Genoa · R327:6 6:7 4:6
- 03/09/26LAlejandro Moro Canas#232Challenger Porto · R163:6 4:6
- 01/09/26WNick Hardt#297Challenger Porto · R324:6 6:0 6:3
- 26/08/26LVilius Gaubas#142ATP US Open · Q24:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Dodig | M. Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 13–1154% | 1–233% |
| Clay | 34–1274% | 45–2961% |
| Grass | 1–150% | 0–10% |
Head to head
M. Dodig 1–0 M. Cecchinato
- 01/04/25Winner: Matej Dodig6:1 1:6 6:3
Road through the tournament
Matej Dodig
- 20/10/26WJoao Domingues#578Challenger Lisbon · R326:1 6:3
Marco Cecchinato
- 19/10/26WVilius Gaubas#142Challenger Lisbon · R326:4 6:3