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Challenger Bratislava 2Challenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Donald vs Piros 0:2: result and our tips

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M. W. DonaldATP #353Elo 1685hard 1609
0:2finalrebuilt3:6 3:6
Zsombor PirosATP #101Elo 1862hard 1821

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

M. W. Donald21%
Zsombor Piros79%

Elo: M. Donald 23% · Z. Piros 77%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Donald11%
2:1 M. Donald9%
2:1 Z. Piros22%
2:0 Z. Piros58%

First set

M. W. Donald27%
Zsombor Piros73%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no69%

Total games

Expected total: 21.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.572%28%79%
18.563%37%71%
19.554%46%62%
20.547%53%54%
21.541%60%49%
22.535%65%42%
23.532%68%37%

Sample: 3,122 matches

Games handicap

Z. Piros −4.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

M. W. DonaldZsombor Piros
3Aces4
3Double faults3
66%First serves in66%
62%First-serve points won61%
40%Second-serve points won64%
1/7Break points converted4/11
5/9Service games held8/9
54%Service points won62%
39%Return points won46%
57Total points won67

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. DonaldTourZ. Piros
Service points won59%62%63%
Return points won44%38%39%
Service games held71%76%80%
Breaks of serve36%24%29%
Aces per service game0.140.35
Double faults per game0.460.20
Sets with a tie-break13%12%
Tie-breaks won6/1112/18
Wins in straight sets65%63%
Matches in the sample3767

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

M. W. Donald

Zsombor Piros

Elo over the last year

M. W. DonaldZsombor Piros

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. DonaldZ. Piros
Hard court3–175%12–571%
Clay20–1361%33–1569%
Grass0–01–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

M. W. Donald

Zsombor Piros

First match in this tournament.