ATP Brussels250Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets

Dzumhur vs Bergs: prediction and tips

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Damir DzumhurATP #83Elo 1852hard 1811
-:-
Zizou BergsATP #41Elo 1974hard 1926

Our tips

Tip in 11h 28m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Damir Dzumhur19%
Zizou Bergs81%

Elo: D. Dzumhur 34% · Z. Bergs 66%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Dzumhur11%
2:1 D. Dzumhur10%
2:1 Z. Bergs21%
2:0 Z. Bergs58%

First set

Damir Dzumhur26%
Zizou Bergs74%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no69%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%29%76%
19.562%38%67%
20.553%47%59%
21.547%53%54%
22.540%61%45%
23.535%65%39%
24.533%67%38%

Sample: 2,846 matches

Games handicap

Zizou Bergs −4.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 38%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. DzumhurTourZ. Bergs
Service points won59%62%64%
Return points won40%38%38%
Service games held69%76%80%
Breaks of serve28%24%23%
Aces per service game0.140.56
Double faults per game0.160.36
Sets with a tie-break16%18%
Tie-breaks won13/238/23
Wins in straight sets57%54%
Matches in the sample6050

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Damir Dzumhur

Zizou Bergs

Elo over the last year

Damir DzumhurZizou Bergs

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. DzumhurZ. Bergs
Hard court13–1448%12–1446%
Clay13–1645%7–750%
Grass2–250%7–370%

Head to head

D. Dzumhur 2–0 Z. Bergs

  • 14/02/22Winner: Damir Dzumhur6:3 6:2
  • 30/01/22Winner: Damir Dzumhur7:5 6:2

Road through the tournament

Damir Dzumhur

Zizou Bergs