Fernandez vs Sakatsume 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Fernandez won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches, Sakatsume lost the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: L. Fernandez 83% · H. Sakatsume 17%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 78% | 22% | 82% |
| 17.5 | 67% | 33% | 72% |
| 18.5 | 58% | 42% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 50% | 50% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 43% | 57% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 40% | 60% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 34% | 66% | 38% |
Sample: 1,345 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 19.5out · 18 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Leylah Fernandez | Himeno Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 1 |
| 0 | Double faults | 4 |
| 73% | First serves in | 60% |
| 76% | First-serve points won | 57% |
| 57% | Second-serve points won | 45% |
| 4/9 | Break points converted | 1/5 |
| 8/9 | Service games held | 5/9 |
| 71% | Service points won | 52% |
| 48% | Return points won | 29% |
| 71 | Total points won | 53 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Fernandez | Tour | H. Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 56% | 57% |
| Return points won | 43% | 44% | 44% |
| Service games held | 71% | 63% | 66% |
| Breaks of serve | 34% | 37% | 38% |
| Aces per service game | 0.23 | 0.19 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.42 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 6% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 3/16 | 4/7 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 71% | |
| Matches in the sample | 58 | 50 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Leylah Fernandez
- 25/10/26LElena Rybakina#1WTA Ningbo · F2:6 2:6
- 24/10/26WMarie Bouzková#24WTA Ningbo · SF6:3 7:5
- 23/10/26WEkaterina Alexandrova#33WTA Ningbo · QF4:6 6:2 6:1
- 21/10/26WAliaksandra Sasnovich#112WTA Ningbo · R167:5 6:7 6:3
- 19/10/26WElise Mertens#14WTA Ningbo · R322:6 6:3 7:5
- 15/10/26LJeļena Ostapenko#26WTA Wuhan · R161:6 6:1 4:6
- 14/10/26WHan Shi#162WTA Wuhan · R326:3 6:4
- 12/10/26WEkaterina Alexandrova#33WTA Wuhan · R646:4 3:6 6:3
- 03/10/26LKamilla Rakhimova#66WTA Beijing · R642:6 6:4 3:6
- 27/09/26WTalia Gibson#38WTA Singapore · F7:5 6:0
Himeno Sakatsume
- 19/10/26LKatie Boulter#48WTA Osaka · R323:6 1:6
- 10/10/26LAyla Aksu#159WTA 125 Samsun · SF5:7 3:6
- 09/10/26WSimona Waltert#128WTA 125 Samsun · QF5:7 6:4 6:0
- 07/10/26WViktoria Hruncakova#220WTA 125 Samsun · R167:5 6:2
- 05/10/26WDominika Salkova#108WTA 125 Samsun · R326:1 6:4
- 22/09/26LTaylah Preston#85WTA Seoul · R322:6 6:3 2:6
- 03/09/26LCristina Bucsa#42WTA US Open · R646:7 7:6 6:7
- 31/08/26WAnhelina Kalinina#55WTA US Open · R1286:3 6:3
- 28/08/26WMia Ristic#182WTA US Open · Q36:4 6:3
- 26/08/26WTyra Caterina Grant#154WTA US Open · Q25:7 6:2 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Fernandez | H. Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 22–1658% | 24–1660% |
| Clay | 8–753% | 2–250% |
| Grass | 1–420% | 2–433% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.