Challenger VillenaChallenger 125Finalhardbest of three sets

Glinka vs Djere 0:2: result and our tips

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Daniil GlinkaATP #178Elo 1767hard 1771
0:2final4:6 4:6
Laslo DjereATP #179Elo 1875hard 1812

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: DjereWon65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 65%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Djere won 8 of the last 10 matches; Djere: 4 wins in a row

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: DjereWon61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Djere: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Won59%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Djere: 6 matches in a row under 23.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Daniil Glinka35%
Laslo Djere65%

Elo: D. Glinka 44% · L. Djere 56%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Glinka21%
2:1 D. Glinka15%
2:1 L. Djere22%
2:0 L. Djere42%

First set

Daniil Glinka40%
Laslo Djere61%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.548%52%42%
23.542%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,450 matches

Games handicap

Laslo Djere −3.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes37%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Daniil GlinkaLaslo Djere
4Aces3
—Double faults—
64%First serves in75%
69%First-serve points won81%
46%Second-serve points won43%
1/4Break points converted3/5
7/10Service games held9/10
61%Service points won72%
28%Return points won39%
53Total points won65

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. GlinkaTourL. Djere
Service points won64%62%64%
Return points won39%38%39%
Service games held79%76%80%
Breaks of serve24%24%26%
Aces per service game0.560.34
Double faults per game0.250.22
Sets with a tie-break13%21%
Tie-breaks won19/2511/26
Wins in straight sets67%73%
Matches in the sample8155

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Daniil Glinka

Laslo Djere

Elo over the last year

Daniil GlinkaLaslo Djere

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. GlinkaL. Djere
Hard court41–2166%10–1050%
Clay8–753%22–1167%
Grass0–40%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Daniil Glinka

Laslo Djere