Hardt vs La Serna 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 57%
Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Hardt 16 of 20, La Serna 12 of 20 (tour average 59%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 41% → with the players' profiles 39%
Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Hardt 10 of 20, La Serna 10 of 20 (tour average 36%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: N. Hardt 40% · J. La Serna 60%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 73% | 27% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 65% | 35% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 58% | 43% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 48% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 45% | 55% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 41% | 59% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 36% |
Sample: 4,935 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 21.5out · 25 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Nick Hardt | Juan Manuel La Serna | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 3 |
| 8 | Double faults | 8 |
| 58% | First serves in | 65% |
| 66% | First-serve points won | 47% |
| 25% | Second-serve points won | 34% |
| 9/16 | Break points converted | 7/14 |
| 6/13 | Service games held | 3/12 |
| 49% | Service points won | 42% |
| 58% | Return points won | 51% |
| 95 | Total points won | 83 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| N. Hardt | Tour | J. La Serna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 58% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 44% |
| Service games held | 69% | 76% | 71% |
| Breaks of serve | 31% | 24% | 35% |
| Aces per service game | 0.16 | 0.18 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.39 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 8% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/7 | 6/13 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 48% | |
| Matches in the sample | 30 | 65 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Nick Hardt
- 20/10/26LFrancisco Comesana#128Challenger Cali · R323:6 5:7
- 13/10/26LFrancisco Comesana#128Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R323:6 6:4 2:6
- 07/10/26LFelipe Meligeni Alves#344Challenger Antofagasta · R163:6 3:6
- 05/10/26WGonzalo Villanueva#318Challenger Antofagasta · R327:5 3:6 7:5
- 01/09/26LMarco Cecchinato#163Challenger Porto · R326:4 0:6 3:6
- 25/08/26LKai Wehnelt#630Challenger Augsburg · R326:2 3:6 2:6
- 19/08/26LOleksii Krutykh#440Challenger Prague · R163:6 0:6
- 17/08/26WJakub Filip#814Challenger Prague · R326:1 6:2
- 10/08/26LMarco Cecchinato#163Challenger Todi · R323:6 5:7
- 09/07/26LLorenzo Claverie#865Challenger Bogota · R166:7 6:7
Juan Manuel La Serna
- 23/10/26LMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#196Challenger Cali · QF4:6 6:4 5:7
- 21/10/26WJuan Bautista Torres#298Challenger Cali · R166:4 6:2
- 20/10/26WHugo Dellien#119Challenger Cali · R326:3 2:0
- 17/10/26LHugo Dellien#119Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · SF4:6 3:6
- 16/10/26WFranco Roncadelli#259Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · QF6:1 6:7 6:4
- 15/10/26WGuido Ivan Justo#182Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R166:1 0:0
- 13/10/26WHernan Casanova#435Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R326:3 6:4
- 10/09/26LLukas Neumayer#168Challenger Tulln · R165:7 7:6 1:6
- 08/09/26WFilip Cristian Jianu#287Challenger Tulln · R326:4 3:6 6:3
- 04/09/26LYanaki Milev#526Challenger Plovdiv 3 · QF3:6 6:3 1:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| N. Hardt | J. La Serna | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–20% | 2–167% |
| Clay | 16–1257% | 40–2265% |
Head to head
N. Hardt 0–1 J. La Serna
- 26/06/26Winner: J. La Serna2:6 0:3