Challenger CaliChallenger 75Quarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying
Heide vs Rodriguez Taverna 2:0: result and our tips
·
2:0final6:3 6:4
Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Gustavo Heide91%
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna9%
Elo: G. Heide 78% · S. Rodriguez Taverna 22%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 G. Heide74%
2:1 G. Heide17%
2:1 S. Rodriguez Taverna5%
2:0 S. Rodriguez Taverna4%
First set
Gustavo Heide85%
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna15%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes22%
no78%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.0 · 61%market (no margin): 49%
The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 19.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5 | 77% | 23% | 91% |
| 16.5 | 66% | 34% | 84% |
| 17.5 | 56% | 44% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 47% | 53% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 39% | 61% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 33% | 67% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 29% | 71% | 47% |
Sample: 1,395 matches
Games handicap
G. Heide −6.546%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes16%
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 20.0in · 19 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Gustavo Heide | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 1 |
| 4 | Double faults | 1 |
| 57% | First serves in | 56% |
| 88% | First-serve points won | 76% |
| 48% | Second-serve points won | 57% |
| 2/5 | Break points converted | 0/0 |
| 10/10 | Service games held | 7/9 |
| 71% | Service points won | 67% |
| 33% | Return points won | 29% |
| 58 | Total points won | 52 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| G. Heide | Tour | S. Rodriguez Taverna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 78% | 76% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 30% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.38 | 0.37 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.43 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 8% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 9/13 | 13/22 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 41% | |
| Matches in the sample | 70 | 45 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Gustavo Heide
- 21/10/26WJuan Pablo Varillas#201Challenger Cali · R167:5 6:4
- 20/10/26WAlex Hernandez#497Challenger Cali · R326:4 3:6 6:3
- 08/10/26LEduardo Ribeiro#355Challenger Antofagasta · R166:3 3:6 4:6
- 06/10/26WMaximo Zeitune#511Challenger Antofagasta · R326:3 1:6 6:4
- 04/10/26LGuido Ivan Justo#182Challenger Curitiba · F1:6 4:6
- 03/10/26WPedro Boscardin Dias#296Challenger Curitiba · SF6:2 6:3
- 02/10/26WLautaro Midon#187Challenger Curitiba · QF6:2 6:4
- 30/09/26WFelipe Meligeni Alves#344Challenger Curitiba · R166:3 6:4
- 29/09/26WHernan Casanova#435Challenger Curitiba · R326:2 6:1
- 11/09/26LMika Brunold#191Challenger Tulln · QF2:6 1:6
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
- 21/10/26WGonzalo Bueno#197Challenger Cali · R166:7 6:4 6:2
- 20/10/26WRodrigo Pacheco Mendez#267Challenger Cali · R327:6 6:7 7:6
- 19/10/26WSergio Luis Hernandez RamirezChallenger Cali · Q26:4 6:2
- 18/10/26WFelipe de DiosChallenger Cali · Q16:1 6:1
- 12/10/26LMaximo Zeitune#511Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q21:6 4:6
- 11/10/26WNicolas CiancagliniChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q16:2 6:1
- 22/09/26LPedro Boscardin Dias#296Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R323:6 1:6
- 21/09/26WFermin Tenti#862Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q26:1 7:5
- 20/09/26WNicolas Bruna#990Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q16:4 4:6 6:2
- 14/09/26LRobert Strombachs#349Challenger Szczecin · Q20:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Gustavo HeideSantiago Rodriguez Taverna
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| G. Heide | S. Rodriguez Taverna | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 1–517% | 0–0 |
| Clay | 44–1871% | 22–2349% |
| Grass | 1–150% | 0–0 |
Head to head
G. Heide 0–1 S. Rodriguez Taverna
- 17/01/24Winner: S. Rodriguez Taverna7:6 4:6 4:6
Road through the tournament
Gustavo Heide
- 20/10/26WAlex Hernandez#497Challenger Cali · R326:4 3:6 6:3
- 21/10/26WJuan Pablo Varillas#201Challenger Cali · R167:5 6:4
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
- 18/10/26WFelipe de DiosChallenger Cali · Q16:1 6:1
- 19/10/26WSergio Luis Hernandez RamirezChallenger Cali · Q26:4 6:2
- 20/10/26WRodrigo Pacheco Mendez#267Challenger Cali · R327:6 6:7 7:6
- 21/10/26WGonzalo Bueno#197Challenger Cali · R166:7 6:4 6:2