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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Liu vs Siniaková: prediction and tips

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Claire LiuWTA #109Elo 1766hard 1742
-:-
Kateřina SiniakováWTA #49Elo 1944hard 1925

Our tips

Tip in 15h 26m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Claire Liu36%
Kateřina Siniaková64%

Elo: C. Liu 26% · K. Siniaková 74%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Liu22%
2:1 C. Liu16%
2:1 K. Siniaková22%
2:0 K. Siniaková40%

First set

Claire Liu41%
Kateřina Siniaková59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.542%58%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,356 matches

Games handicap

K. Siniaková −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. LiuTourK. Siniaková
Service points won58%56%57%
Return points won46%44%45%
Service games held69%63%67%
Breaks of serve41%37%38%
Aces per service game0.280.17
Double faults per game0.270.41
Sets with a tie-break9%8%
Tie-breaks won3/94/8
Wins in straight sets70%75%
Matches in the sample4443

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Claire Liu

Kateřina Siniaková

Elo over the last year

Claire LiuKateřina Siniaková

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. LiuK. Siniaková
Hard court15–1060%16–1257%
Clay7–558%4–450%
Grass5–271%4–357%

Head to head

C. Liu 2–0 K. Siniaková

  • 21/03/23Winner: C. Liu3:6 3:3
  • 01/01/23Winner: C. Liu0:6 6:3 6:1

Road through the tournament

Claire Liu

Kateřina Siniaková