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WTA OsakaWTA 250Finalhardbest of three sets

Krueger vs Siniaková 0:2: result and our tips

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Ashlyn KruegerWTA #44Elo 1908hard 1870
0:2final1:6 0:6
Kateřina SiniakováWTA #49Elo 1926hard 1905

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 25.5Won68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 25.5 games in recent matches: Krueger 18 of 20, Siniakova 16 of 20 (tour average 72%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Krueger 16 of 20, Siniakova 15 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.5Won31%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 18.5 games in recent matches: Krueger 12 of 20, Siniakova 10 of 20 (tour average 36%); Siniakova: 3 matches in a row under 18.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ashlyn Krueger44%
Kateřina Siniaková56%

Elo: A. Krueger 45% · K. Siniaková 55%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Krueger29%
2:1 A. Krueger18%
2:1 K. Siniaková20%
2:0 K. Siniaková33%

First set

Ashlyn Krueger48%
Kateřina Siniaková52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%64%32%

Sample: 2,423 matches

Games handicap

K. Siniaková −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 13 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Ashlyn KruegerKateřina Siniaková
1Aces1
3Double faults1
75%First serves in64%
46%First-serve points won76%
25%Second-serve points won57%
0/1Break points converted6/8
1/7Service games held6/6
40%Service points won69%
31%Return points won60%
31Total points won55

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. KruegerTourK. Siniaková
Service points won59%56%58%
Return points won44%44%45%
Service games held71%63%68%
Breaks of serve35%37%36%
Aces per service game0.420.18
Double faults per game0.400.41
Sets with a tie-break10%8%
Tie-breaks won7/144/8
Wins in straight sets65%77%
Matches in the sample5941

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ashlyn Krueger

Kateřina Siniaková

Elo over the last year

Ashlyn KruegerKateřina Siniaková

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. KruegerK. Siniaková
Hard court16–1552%14–1254%
Clay5–550%4–450%
Grass16–289%4–357%

Head to head

A. Krueger 0–3 K. Siniaková

  • 22/06/25Winner: K. Siniaková5:7 2:6
  • 15/06/25Winner: K. Siniaková4:6 2:6
  • 05/01/25Winner: K. Siniaková3:6 6:2 2:6

Road through the tournament

Ashlyn Krueger

Kateřina Siniaková

See also