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Challenger Hersonissos 3Challenger 50Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Loge vs Ilkel 2:1: result and our tips

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Jack LogeATP #402Elo 1538hard 1521
2:1final2:6 6:4 6:2
Cem IlkelElo 1403hard 1416

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jack Loge85%
Cem Ilkel15%

Elo: J. Loge 65% · C. Ilkel 35%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Loge65%
2:1 J. Loge20%
2:1 C. Ilkel7%
2:0 C. Ilkel8%

First set

Jack Loge78%
Cem Ilkel22%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes27%
no73%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.5 · 53%market (no margin): 46%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.582%18%88%
17.572%28%80%
18.563%37%71%
19.553%47%62%
20.545%55%54%
21.540%60%49%
22.533%67%42%

Sample: 2,175 matches

Games handicap

J. Loge −5.544%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 19.5in · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Jack LogeCem Ilkel
2Aces0
1Double faults3
72%First serves in48%
59%First-serve points won65%
52%Second-serve points won46%
5/11Break points converted4/12
9/13Service games held8/13
57%Service points won55%
45%Return points won43%
87Total points won84

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. LogeTourC. Ilkel
Service points won60%62%59%
Return points won42%38%36%
Service games held73%76%71%
Breaks of serve31%24%15%
Aces per service game0.190.40
Double faults per game0.280.24
Sets with a tie-break25%0%
Tie-breaks won2/50/0
Wins in straight sets50%—
Matches in the sample84

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jack Loge

  • 04/08/26LFranco Agamenone#364Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R326:7 7:5 4:6
  • 10/07/26LLorenzo Giustino#272Challenger Liege · QF5:7 4:6
  • 08/07/26WLuca Staeheli#449Challenger Liege · R167:6 3:6 6:2
  • 07/07/26WFrancesco Forti#322Challenger Liege · R324:6 6:3 7:6
  • 09/03/26LPeter Makk#537Challenger Hersonissos 2 · Q26:7 6:4 3:6
  • 08/03/26WDaniel Siniakov#500Challenger Hersonissos 2 · Q16:3 6:0
  • 02/03/26LBuvaysar Gadamauri#266Challenger Hersonissos · Q26:7 2:6
  • 01/03/26WMichalis SakellaridisChallenger Hersonissos · Q16:2 6:1
  • 08/09/25LImanol Lopez Morillo#621Challenger Targu Mures · Q26:3 4:6 5:7
  • 07/09/25WIsaac NorteyChallenger Targu Mures · Q16:1 6:2

Cem Ilkel

  • 06/09/26LAlex Hernandez#469Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q12:6 4:6
  • 02/08/26LKoki Matsuda#457Challenger Istanbul 2 · Q12:6 5:7
  • 28/07/26LConstantin Bittoun Kouzmine#498Challenger Samsun · R323:6 2:6
  • 17/05/26LVladyslav Orlov#521Challenger Istanbul · Q11:6 7:5 3:6
  • 29/05/25LPetr Bar Biryukov#268Challenger Chisinau · R164:6 7:6 6:7
  • 28/05/25WSasikumar Mukund#745Challenger Chisinau · R326:4 6:3
  • 05/01/25LLiam Broady#212Challenger Nottingham · Q11:6 3:6
  • 07/10/24LMurphy Cassone#283Challenger Fairfield · Q22:6 3:6
  • 06/10/24WCalum PuttergillChallenger Fairfield · Q16:2 6:3
  • 29/09/24LOzan Baris#397Challenger Tiburon · Q13:6 5:7

Elo over the last year

Jack LogeCem Ilkel

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. LogeC. Ilkel
Hard court2–250%0–30%
Clay2–250%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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