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Challenger MonastirChallenger 50Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Mackinlay vs Dalmasso 0:2: result and our tips

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James MackinlayElo 1309hard 1362
0:2final2:6 2:6
Guillaume DalmassoATP #628Elo 1405hard 1419

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

James Mackinlay38%
Guillaume Dalmasso62%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Mackinlay22%
2:1 J. Mackinlay16%
2:1 G. Dalmasso22%
2:0 G. Dalmasso40%

First set

James Mackinlay41%
Guillaume Dalmasso59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,983 matches

Games handicap

G. Dalmasso −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

James MackinlayGuillaume Dalmasso
0Aces5
3Double faults3
50%First serves in73%
54%First-serve points won77%
36%Second-serve points won46%
1/3Break points converted5/13
3/8Service games held7/8
45%Service points won69%
31%Return points won55%
40Total points won64

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. MackinlayTourG. Dalmasso
Service points won—62%61%
Return points won—38%38%
Service games held—76%75%
Breaks of serve—24%24%
Aces per service game—0.45
Double faults per game—0.80
Sets with a tie-break—10%
Tie-breaks won—3/6
Wins in straight sets—54%
Matches in the sample—26

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

James Mackinlay

  • 05/07/26LPatrick Brady#677Challenger Nottingham 3 · Q12:6 1:6
  • 07/07/25LPatrick Brady#677Challenger Nottingham 3 · Q15:7 3:6
  • 14/07/24LJesse Flores#810Challenger Pozoblanco · Q11:6 1:6

Guillaume Dalmasso

  • 06/09/26LHugo CarChallenger Cassis · Q16:7 4:6
  • 16/08/26LGarrett Johns#451Challenger Kingston · Q13:6 1:6
  • 28/07/26LHayato Matsuoka#247Challenger Vancouver · Q14:6 4:6
  • 19/07/26LJames Kent Trotter#542Challenger Winnipeg · Q13:6 4:6
  • 14/07/26LAidan Mayo#285Challenger Granby · R324:6 4:6
  • 13/07/26WMikael ArseneaultChallenger Granby · Q24:6 6:4 6:4
  • 12/07/26WVolodymyr GurenkoChallenger Granby · Q16:4 6:4
  • 06/07/26LAlberto Barroso Campos#712Challenger Nottingham 3 · R323:6 4:6
  • 03/06/26LArda Azkara#693Challenger Centurion 2 · R166:7 2:6
  • 02/06/26WConstantin Bittoun Kouzmine#498Challenger Centurion 2 · R326:4 6:3

Elo over the last year

James MackinlayGuillaume Dalmasso

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. MackinlayG. Dalmasso
Hard court0–012–1055%
Clay0–01–233%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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