WTA 125 SuzhouSemifinalhardbest of three sets

Okamura vs Kalieva 2:0: result and our tips

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Kyoka OkamuraWTA #244Elo 1691hard 1692
2:0final6:1 7:6(1)
Elvina KalievaWTA #112Elo 1714hard 1705

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

How our tips did

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kyoka Okamura30%
Elvina Kalieva70%

Elo: K. Okamura 48% · E. Kalieva 52%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Okamura18%
2:1 K. Okamura14%
2:1 E. Kalieva21%
2:0 E. Kalieva47%

First set

Kyoka Okamura37%
Elvina Kalieva64%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 57%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%70%
18.565%35%61%
19.557%43%53%
20.549%51%46%
21.543%57%41%
22.539%61%37%
23.535%65%33%

Sample: 1,889 matches

Games handicap

Elvina Kalieva −4.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Kyoka OkamuraElvina Kalieva
1Aces6
3Double faults3
61%First serves in59%
71%First-serve points won58%
46%Second-serve points won33%
5/10Break points converted2/5
7/9Service games held5/10
61%Service points won48%
52%Return points won39%
72Total points won55

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. OkamuraTourE. Kalieva
Service points won58%56%58%
Return points won44%44%44%
Service games held67%63%66%
Breaks of serve36%37%36%
Aces per service game0.210.35
Double faults per game0.250.35
Sets with a tie-break20%11%
Tie-breaks won4/99/15
Wins in straight sets64%55%
Matches in the sample2056

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kyoka Okamura

Elvina Kalieva

Elo over the last year

Kyoka OkamuraElvina Kalieva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. OkamuraE. Kalieva
Hard court11–955%22–1363%
Clay0–09–756%
Grass0–02–340%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Kyoka Okamura

Elvina Kalieva

See also