Pagani vs Dellien 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Dellien: 8 matches in a row without a tie-break
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Dellien: 3 matches in a row under 19.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: D. Pagani 16% · M. Dellien 85%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 74% | 26% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 65% | 35% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 48% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 45% | 55% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
Sample: 4,731 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 21.0in · 25 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Dante Pagani | Murkel Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aces | 2 |
| 4 | Double faults | 5 |
| 73% | First serves in | 72% |
| 54% | First-serve points won | 56% |
| 43% | Second-serve points won | 48% |
| 5/11 | Break points converted | 6/10 |
| 6/12 | Service games held | 8/13 |
| 51% | Service points won | 53% |
| 47% | Return points won | 49% |
| 81 | Total points won | 85 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| D. Pagani | Tour | M. Dellien | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 57% | 62% | 56% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 42% |
| Service games held | 65% | 76% | 65% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 31% |
| Aces per service game | 0.21 | 0.15 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.26 | 0.35 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 7% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 0/1 | 3/6 | |
| Wins in straight sets | — | 71% | |
| Matches in the sample | 4 | 40 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Dante Pagani
- 20/09/26LBruno Fernandez#553Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q14:6 4:6
- 17/02/26LLautaro Midon#185Challenger Tigre · R322:6 2:6
- 01/02/26LSantiago De la Fuente#757Challenger Rosario · Q16:7 6:2 2:6
- 13/01/26LLucio Ratti#371Challenger Buenos Aires · R324:6 2:6
- 21/09/25LLuciano Emanuel Ambrogi#335Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q13:6 4:6
- 14/09/25LLeonardo AboianChallenger Villa Maria · Q10:6 3:6
Murkel Dellien
- 13/10/26LLuis Guto Miguel#547Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R320:6 0:1
- 07/10/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#110Challenger Antofagasta · R161:6 2:6
- 05/10/26WJuan Estevez#357Challenger Antofagasta · R326:2 6:0
- 29/09/26LJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva#177Challenger Curitiba · R321:6 5:7
- 23/09/26LJuan Pablo Varillas#202Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R166:4 5:7 4:6
- 22/09/26WHernan Casanova#438Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R326:3 6:4
- 25/08/26LBenito Sanchez Martinez#901Challenger Augsburg · R322:6 4:6
- 18/08/26LRyan Nijboer#384Challenger Sion · R322:6 1:6
- 10/08/26LDaniel Elahi Galan#355Challenger Todi · R324:6 2:6
- 04/08/26LAdrian Andreev#631Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R321:6 6:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| D. Pagani | M. Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0–40% | 17–2343% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Upcoming matches
- Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova, · Challenger Villa Maria
- Federico Aguilar Cardozo vs Nicolas Kicker, · Challenger Villa Maria
- Oriol Roca Batalla vs Ryo Tabata, · Challenger Villa Maria
- Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva, · WTA Chennai
- Moyuka Uchijima vs Magda Linette, · WTA Chennai
- Simona Waltert vs Lucrezia Stefanini, · WTA Chennai