Challenger TarantoChallenger 50Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying
Peniston vs Walters 1:2: result and our tips
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Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Ryan Peniston71%
Marcus Walters29%
Elo: R. Peniston 48% · M. Walters 53%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 R. Peniston48%
2:1 R. Peniston22%
2:1 M. Walters13%
2:0 M. Walters17%
First set
Ryan Peniston66%
Marcus Walters35%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 53%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 71% | 29% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 62% | 38% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 65% | 35% |
Sample: 4,659 matches
Games handicap
R. Peniston −3.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes30%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 21.5out · 27 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Ryan Peniston | Marcus Walters | |
|---|---|---|
| — | Aces | — |
| 1 | Double faults | 2 |
| 84% | First serves in | 61% |
| 55% | First-serve points won | 70% |
| 60% | Second-serve points won | 66% |
| 3/5 | Break points converted | 4/12 |
| 9/13 | Service games held | 11/14 |
| 55% | Service points won | 68% |
| 32% | Return points won | 45% |
| 75 | Total points won | 92 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| R. Peniston | Tour | M. Walters | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 67% | 76% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.21 | 0.51 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.33 | 0.17 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 2/6 | 3/3 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 80% | |
| Matches in the sample | 19 | 9 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Ryan Peniston
- 01/11/26WSebastian Gima#513Challenger Taranto · Q16:4 6:2
- 25/10/26LBenjamin Hassan#459Challenger Brest · Q13:6 0:6
- 11/10/26LDimitar Kuzmanov#363Challenger Olbia · Q14:6 3:6
- 28/09/26LFilippo Romano#240Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q22:6 3:6
- 27/09/26WJelle Sels#591Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q16:4 6:1
- 20/09/26LDaniel Jade#608Challenger Saint Tropez · Q17:6 2:6 2:6
- 07/09/26LDaniil Glinka#161Challenger Cassis · R326:7 2:6
- 31/08/26LCarl Emil Overbeck#301Challenger Manacor · Q12:6 3:6
- 24/08/26LIvan Ivanov#465Challenger Roehampton 2 · R320:6 6:3 4:6
- 10/02/26LHynek Barton#277Challenger Tenerife 2 · R326:7 6:4 3:6
Marcus Walters
- 01/11/26WMoez Echargui#349Challenger Taranto · Q16:3 6:4
- 23/08/26LMillen Hurrion#503Challenger Roehampton 2 · Q12:6 4:6
- 17/08/26LPeter Makk#537Challenger Roehampton · Q24:6 5:7
- 16/08/26WMatt PonchetChallenger Roehampton · Q17:6 7:6
- 07/07/26LAmit Vales#476Challenger Nottingham 3 · R322:6 1:6
- 06/07/26WJesse DelaneyChallenger Nottingham 3 · Q27:5 1:6 6:3
- 05/07/26WVladislav MelnicChallenger Nottingham 3 · Q16:3 7:6
- 12/01/26LHenry Searle#217Challenger Glasgow · Q24:6 5:7
- 11/01/26WRadu Albot#571Challenger Glasgow · Q16:3 7:5
- 05/02/24LHamish Stewart#435Challenger Nottingham · Q22:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Ryan PenistonMarcus Walters
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| R. Peniston | M. Walters | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 5–1426% | 3–350% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 2–167% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Ryan Peniston
- 01/11/26WSebastian Gima#513Challenger Taranto · Q16:4 6:2
Marcus Walters
- 01/11/26WMoez Echargui#349Challenger Taranto · Q16:3 6:4