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Challenger TarantoChallenger 50Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Gima vs Peniston 0:2: result and our tips

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Sebastian GimaATP #513Elo 1453hard 1409
0:2final4:6 2:6
Ryan PenistonATP #886Elo 1534hard 1516

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Lost56%

Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 56%

Gima: 5 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Won44%

Where the number comes from: market alone 41% → with the players' profiles 44%

Peniston: 4 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sebastian Gima44%
Ryan Peniston56%

Elo: S. Gima 35% · R. Peniston 65%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Gima26%
2:1 S. Gima17%
2:1 R. Peniston21%
2:0 R. Peniston36%

First set

Sebastian Gima45%
Ryan Peniston55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 50%market (no margin): 52%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%29%71%
19.563%38%62%
20.557%43%54%
21.550%50%49%
22.543%57%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.537%63%35%

Sample: 5,827 matches

Games handicap

R. Peniston −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Sebastian GimaRyan Peniston
1Aces1
0Double faults1
65%First serves in81%
57%First-serve points won74%
40%Second-serve points won67%
1/2Break points converted4/6
5/9Service games held8/9
51%Service points won73%
27%Return points won49%
42Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. GimaTourR. Peniston
Service points won59%62%58%
Return points won39%38%40%
Service games held70%76%66%
Breaks of serve26%24%24%
Aces per service game0.270.22
Double faults per game0.260.34
Sets with a tie-break19%14%
Tie-breaks won3/102/6
Wins in straight sets63%50%
Matches in the sample2418

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sebastian Gima

  • 18/10/26LSergi Perez Contri#431Challenger Florence · Q15:7 6:7
  • 12/10/26LPedro Vives Marcos#588Challenger Catania · Q26:7 2:6
  • 11/10/26WMaximus Jones#493Challenger Catania · Q16:2 3:6 6:3
  • 22/09/26LJonas Forejtek#308Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R324:6 6:4 3:6
  • 21/09/26WFilip Misolic#676Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q26:3 4:6 6:3
  • 20/09/26WAleksandar TolevChallenger Plovdiv 4 · Q16:1 6:3
  • 30/06/26LGuido Ivan Justo#186Challenger Brasov · R322:6 1:6
  • 29/06/26LRadu Albot#571Challenger Brasov · Q22:6 6:7
  • 28/06/26WStefan Adrian Andreescu#670Challenger Brasov · Q16:3 1:0
  • 24/06/26LAndrej Nedic#246Challenger Targu Mures · R167:6 3:6 5:7

Ryan Peniston

  • 25/10/26LBenjamin Hassan#459Challenger Brest · Q13:6 0:6
  • 11/10/26LDimitar Kuzmanov#363Challenger Olbia · Q14:6 3:6
  • 28/09/26LFilippo Romano#240Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q22:6 3:6
  • 27/09/26WJelle Sels#591Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q16:4 6:1
  • 20/09/26LDaniel Jade#608Challenger Saint Tropez · Q17:6 2:6 2:6
  • 07/09/26LDaniil Glinka#161Challenger Cassis · R326:7 2:6
  • 31/08/26LCarl Emil Overbeck#301Challenger Manacor · Q12:6 3:6
  • 24/08/26LIvan Ivanov#465Challenger Roehampton 2 · R320:6 6:3 4:6
  • 10/02/26LHynek Barton#277Challenger Tenerife 2 · R326:7 6:4 3:6
  • 27/01/26LColeman Wong#85Challenger Manama · R323:6 2:6

Elo over the last year

Sebastian GimaRyan Peniston

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. GimaR. Peniston
Hard court1–517%4–1422%
Clay7–1139%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also