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Challenger OrleansChallenger 175Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Piros vs Nardi: prediction and tips

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Zsombor PirosATP #99Elo 1864hard 1827
-:-awaiting result
Luca NardiATP #263Elo 1769hard 1763

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Zsombor Piros47%
Luca Nardi53%

Elo: Z. Piros 59% · L. Nardi 41%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Z. Piros28%
2:1 Z. Piros19%
2:1 L. Nardi20%
2:0 L. Nardi33%

First set

Zsombor Piros47%
Luca Nardi53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 54%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,546 matches

Games handicap

L. Nardi −1.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Z. PirosTourL. Nardi
Service points won62%62%61%
Return points won39%38%39%
Service games held80%76%76%
Breaks of serve29%24%26%
Aces per service game0.350.35
Double faults per game0.200.26
Sets with a tie-break12%22%
Tie-breaks won12/199/21
Wins in straight sets63%79%
Matches in the sample7039

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Zsombor Piros

Luca Nardi

Elo over the last year

Zsombor PirosLuca Nardi

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Z. PirosL. Nardi
Hard court14–670%13–1252%
Clay33–1569%3–538%
Grass1–150%3–350%

Head to head

Z. Piros 1–0 L. Nardi

  • 18/09/22Winner: Z. Piros4:6 7:5 6:2

Road through the tournament

Zsombor Piros

First match in this tournament.

Luca Nardi

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