Challenger Santa Cruz 2Challenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Ribeiro vs Prado Angelo: prediction and tips

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Eduardo RibeiroATP #346Elo 1593clay 1600
-:-awaiting result
Juan Carlos Prado AngeloATP #162Elo 1724clay 1732

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.566%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in recent matches: Ribeiro 16 of 20, Prado Angelo 14 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 23.565%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Ribeiro 16 of 20, Prado Angelo 13 of 20 (tour average 64%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.545%

Where the number comes from: market alone 41% → with the players' profiles 45%

Prado Angelo: 4 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Eduardo Ribeiro24%
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo76%

Elo: E. Ribeiro 32% · J. Prado Angelo 68%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Ribeiro13%
2:1 E. Ribeiro12%
2:1 J. Prado Angelo23%
2:0 J. Prado Angelo53%

First set

Eduardo Ribeiro31%
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo69%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.573%27%76%
18.563%37%68%
19.555%45%59%
20.549%51%52%
21.543%57%47%
22.538%62%40%
23.535%65%36%

Sample: 3,006 matches

Games handicap

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo −4.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes21%

tour average 27%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. RibeiroTourJ. Prado Angelo
Service points won60%62%59%
Return points won40%38%41%
Service games held74%76%70%
Breaks of serve28%24%30%
Aces per service game0.240.20
Double faults per game0.150.19
Sets with a tie-break12%15%
Tie-breaks won4/1417/24
Wins in straight sets72%66%
Matches in the sample5167

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Eduardo Ribeiro

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Elo over the last year

Eduardo RibeiroJuan Carlos Prado Angelo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. RibeiroJ. Prado Angelo
Hard court1–150%5–645%
Clay24–2549%33–2260%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

E. Ribeiro 1–1 J. Prado Angelo

  • 02/04/24Winner: Juan Carlos Prado Angelo6:7 2:6
  • 18/09/23Winner: Eduardo Ribeiro6:3 6:4