ATP Vienna500Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets
Rodionov vs Basilashvili: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1h 26mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Jurij Rodionov43%
Nikoloz Basilashvili57%
Elo: J. Rodionov 32% · N. Basilashvili 69%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. Rodionov25%
2:1 J. Rodionov19%
2:1 N. Basilashvili21%
2:0 N. Basilashvili35%
First set
Jurij Rodionov45%
Nikoloz Basilashvili55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 23.0 · 47%market (no margin): 48%
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 68% | 32% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 62% | 38% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 54% | 46% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 47% | 53% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 44% | 56% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 41% | 59% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 36% | 64% | 30% |
Sample: 5,839 matches
Games handicap
N. Basilashvili −1.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes45%
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Rodionov | Tour | N. Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.50 | 0.63 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.38 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 15/25 | 13/29 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 69% | |
| Matches in the sample | 65 | 63 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Jurij Rodionov
- 18/10/26LPierre-Hugues Herbert#249ATP Lyon · Q17:6 5:7 0:6
- 09/09/26LDaniel Masur#365Challenger Cassis · R167:5 3:6 1:6
- 08/09/26WMatisse Bobichon#517Challenger Cassis · R327:6 6:1
- 03/09/26LJakub Menšík#16ATP US Open · R643:6 6:3 2:6 3:6
- 31/08/26WGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard#148ATP US Open · R1287:6 6:0 7:6
- 27/08/26WJacob Fearnley#86ATP US Open · Q34:6 6:4 6:4
- 26/08/26WFrederico Ferreira Silva#273ATP US Open · Q26:2 3:6 6:1
- 24/08/26WKimmer Coppejans#221ATP US Open · Q16:1 6:4
- 18/08/26LRei Sakamoto#125Challenger Quebec City · R321:6 4:6
- 31/07/26LJamie Mackenzie#628Challenger Bonn · QF6:7 4:6
Nikoloz Basilashvili
- 25/10/26LDaniil Medvedev#5ATP Almaty · F7:6 1:6 3:6
- 24/10/26WStefanos Tsitsipas#33ATP Almaty · SF6:4 6:7 6:3
- 23/10/26WAdrian Mannarino#73ATP Almaty · QF6:3 6:1
- 21/10/26WFacundo Diaz Acosta#70ATP Almaty · R166:2 6:4
- 19/10/26WMarin Cilic#96ATP Almaty · R326:2 7:5
- 18/10/26WAdam Walton#98ATP Almaty · Q26:4 7:6
- 17/10/26WTaro Daniel#177ATP Almaty · Q16:2 7:5
- 07/10/26LAdrian Mannarino#73ATP Shanghai · R1283:6 2:2
- 06/10/26WLiam Draxl#194ATP Shanghai · Q25:7 7:5 6:4
- 05/10/26WAndre Ilagan#199ATP Shanghai · Q16:3 6:7 7:5
Elo over the last year
Jurij RodionovNikoloz Basilashvili
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Rodionov | N. Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 19–1359% | 18–1653% |
| Clay | 14–1058% | 12–1250% |
| Grass | 6–367% | 2–340% |
Head to head
J. Rodionov 0–1 N. Basilashvili
- 30/03/26Winner: N. Basilashvili4:6 6:0 3:6