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Challenger KnoxvilleChallenger 75Quarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Shelbayh vs Gray 2:0: result and our tips

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Abdullah ShelbayhATP #305Elo 1729hard 1720
2:0final6:4 6:4
Alastair GrayATP #270Elo 1621hard 1606

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

How our tips did

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Abdullah Shelbayh53%
Alastair Gray47%

Elo: A. Shelbayh 66% · A. Gray 34%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Shelbayh33%
2:1 A. Shelbayh20%
2:1 A. Gray19%
2:0 A. Gray28%

First set

Abdullah Shelbayh53%
Alastair Gray48%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 53%market (no margin): 52%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.541%60%35%
25.537%64%32%

Sample: 5,564 matches

Games handicap

A. Shelbayh −1.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes36%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 23.0in · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. ShelbayhTourA. Gray
Service points won60%62%64%
Return points won39%38%37%
Service games held74%76%81%
Breaks of serve26%24%22%
Aces per service game0.300.57
Double faults per game0.280.27
Sets with a tie-break14%19%
Tie-breaks won10/218/20
Wins in straight sets61%65%
Matches in the sample6445

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Abdullah Shelbayh

Alastair Gray

Elo over the last year

Abdullah ShelbayhAlastair Gray

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. ShelbayhA. Gray
Hard court23–1955%17–1849%
Clay6–1233%0–0
Grass2–250%6–460%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Abdullah Shelbayh

Alastair Gray

Upcoming matches

See also