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Challenger SeoulChallenger 175Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Shimabukuro vs Wong 0:2: result and our tips

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Sho ShimabukuroATP #118Elo 1815hard 1773
0:2final6:7(4) 1:6
Coleman WongATP #85Elo 1899hard 1874

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: WongWon61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Shimabukuro lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Wong won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%); Wong: 5 matches in a row winning the first set

Other tips

  • Match Winner: WongWon66%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 66%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Wong won 8 of the last 10 matches; Shimabukuro lost 7 of the last 10 matches

  • Total Games: Under 24.5Won60%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 62% → with the players' profiles 60%

    Under 24.5 games in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Long shot
1st Set Winner: ShimabukuroLost39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Shimabukuro won the first set in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sho Shimabukuro35%
Coleman Wong65%

Elo: S. Shimabukuro 36% · C. Wong 64%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Shimabukuro20%
2:1 S. Shimabukuro15%
2:1 C. Wong22%
2:0 C. Wong43%

First set

Sho Shimabukuro39%
Coleman Wong61%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 48%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.572%29%62%
20.563%37%54%
21.557%44%49%
22.551%49%42%
23.544%56%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,580 matches

Games handicap

C. Wong −3.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes43%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.5out · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Sho ShimabukuroColeman Wong
2Aces6
2Double faults2
54%First serves in54%
77%First-serve points won63%
27%Second-serve points won62%
2/6Break points converted4/8
5/9Service games held8/10
54%Service points won62%
38%Return points won46%
59Total points won72

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. ShimabukuroTourC. Wong
Service points won63%62%66%
Return points won37%38%36%
Service games held78%76%83%
Breaks of serve25%24%19%
Aces per service game0.530.88
Double faults per game0.250.20
Sets with a tie-break16%17%
Tie-breaks won16/2726/35
Wins in straight sets70%69%
Matches in the sample7184

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sho Shimabukuro

Coleman Wong

Elo over the last year

Sho ShimabukuroColeman Wong

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. ShimabukuroC. Wong
Hard court32–2457%43–2563%
Clay1–325%7–464%
Grass7–464%1–420%

Head to head

S. Shimabukuro 3–0 C. Wong

  • 02/11/25Winner: S. Shimabukuro6:4 6:3
  • 11/11/24Winner: S. Shimabukuro7:6 6:2
  • 07/09/24Winner: S. Shimabukuro6:3 7:6

Road through the tournament

Sho Shimabukuro

Coleman Wong

See also