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WTA Hong KongWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Stojsavljevic vs Kenin 2:1: result and our tips

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Mika StojsavljevicWTA #411Elo 1521hard 1511
2:1finalrebuilt6:3 4:6 6:4
Sofia KeninWTA #187Elo 1683hard 1654

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mika Stojsavljevic33%
Sofia Kenin67%

Elo: M. Stojsavljevic 31% · S. Kenin 69%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Stojsavljevic19%
2:1 M. Stojsavljevic15%
2:1 S. Kenin22%
2:0 S. Kenin44%

First set

Mika Stojsavljevic37%
Sofia Kenin63%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%64%
19.560%40%56%
20.553%47%49%
21.547%53%44%
22.541%59%38%
23.537%63%34%
24.535%65%32%

Sample: 2,185 matches

Games handicap

S. Kenin −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 29 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Mika StojsavljevicSofia Kenin
4Aces0
7Double faults0
56%First serves in79%
73%First-serve points won51%
40%Second-serve points won61%
6/13Break points converted5/8
10/15Service games held8/14
58%Service points won53%
47%Return points won42%
90Total points won81

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. StojsavljevicTourS. Kenin
Service points won57%56%56%
Return points won41%44%40%
Service games held64%63%64%
Breaks of serve28%37%26%
Aces per service game0.390.16
Double faults per game0.360.38
Sets with a tie-break18%12%
Tie-breaks won1/44/10
Wins in straight sets0%63%
Matches in the sample935

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mika Stojsavljevic

Sofia Kenin

Elo over the last year

Mika StojsavljevicSofia Kenin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. StojsavljevicS. Kenin
Hard court1–233%4–1818%
Clay0–02–529%
Grass2–433%2–433%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Mika Stojsavljevic

Sofia Kenin

First match in this tournament.