Challenger Brisbane 3Challenger 75Round of 16hardbest of three sets
Sweeny vs Hoole: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 4hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Dane Sweeny69%
Casey Hoole31%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 D. Sweeny46%
2:1 D. Sweeny22%
2:1 C. Hoole14%
2:0 C. Hoole18%
First set
Dane Sweeny64%
Casey Hoole36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 74% | 26% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 66% | 35% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 52% | 48% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 61% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 63% | 35% |
Sample: 5,150 matches
Games handicap
D. Sweeny −3.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes34%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| D. Sweeny | Tour | C. Hoole | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | — |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | — |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | — |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | — |
| Aces per service game | 0.26 | — | |
| Double faults per game | 0.28 | — | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | — | |
| Tie-breaks won | 19/33 | — | |
| Wins in straight sets | 51% | — | |
| Matches in the sample | 69 | — |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Dane Sweeny
- 10/11/26WAnton Shepp#477Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:3 6:1
- 15/10/26LShintaro Mochizuki#128Challenger Jinan · R163:6 6:7
- 13/10/26WBernard Tomic#176Challenger Jinan · R322:2
- 06/10/26LKimmer Coppejans#219ATP Shanghai · Q23:6 2:6
- 05/10/26WTristan Schoolkate#144ATP Shanghai · Q13:6 6:3 6:2
- 02/10/26LAlex Bolt#171Challenger Jingshan · QF3:6 6:7
- 01/10/26WPetr Bar Biryukov#271Challenger Jingshan · R166:4 6:1
- 30/09/26WOmar Jasika#301Challenger Jingshan · R326:2 3:6 6:3
- 24/09/26LTaro Daniel#172ATP Hangzhou · R326:7 2:6
- 05/09/26LLuciano Darderi#21ATP US Open · R324:6 3:6 3:6
Casey Hoole
- 10/11/26WSam Ryan Ziegann#786Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:3 6:2
- 28/12/24LDusan Lajovic#158ATP Brisbane · Q17:5 5:7 0:2
- 01/01/24LTristan Schoolkate#144Challenger Canberra · R323:6 4:6
- 01/01/24WTimofey Skatov#197Challenger Canberra · Q26:2 7:5
- 31/12/23WMitchell HarperChallenger Canberra · Q16:3 6:3
Elo over the last year
Dane SweenyCasey Hoole
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| D. Sweeny | C. Hoole | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 33–2557% | 1–0100% |
| Clay | 0–20% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 6–367% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Dane Sweeny
- 10/11/26WAnton Shepp#477Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:3 6:1
Casey Hoole
- 10/11/26WSam Ryan Ziegann#786Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:3 6:2
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