ATP Stockholm250Semifinalhard, indoorbest of three sets
Tabilo vs Tirante: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 9h 49mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Alejandro Tabilo57%
Thiago Agustin Tirante44%
Elo: A. Tabilo 57% · T. Tirante 43%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Tabilo35%
2:1 A. Tabilo21%
2:1 T. Tirante20%
2:0 T. Tirante25%
First set
Alejandro Tabilo55%
Thiago Agustin Tirante45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 23.5 · 50%market (no margin): 50%
The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 71% | 29% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 64% | 36% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 58% | 42% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 50% | 50% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 45% | 55% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 43% | 57% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 38% | 62% | 30% |
Sample: 6,011 matches
Games handicap
A. Tabilo −1.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes51%
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Tabilo | Tour | T. Tirante | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 83% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 20% |
| Aces per service game | 0.47 | 0.74 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.16 | 0.22 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 19% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 13/28 | 15/28 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 51% | 53% | |
| Matches in the sample | 68 | 58 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alejandro Tabilo
- 12/11/26WAlex Michelsen#35ATP Stockholm · QF7:5 7:6
- 11/11/26WLorenzo Sonego#115ATP Stockholm · R167:6 6:7 7:5
- 02/11/26LRafael Jodar#11ATP Paris · R642:6 3:6
- 27/10/26LRafael Jodar#11ATP Basel · R324:6 2:6
- 10/10/26LPablo Carreno Busta#77ATP Shanghai · R646:4 6:7 4:6
- 03/10/26LDenis Shapovalov#50ATP Tokyo · R165:7 6:3 4:6
- 30/09/26WTommy Paul#13ATP Tokyo · R326:1 6:2
- 25/09/26LAdrian Mannarino#61ATP Chengdu · R164:6 4:6
- 06/09/26LAlexander Zverev#1ATP US Open · R322:6 6:7 2:6
- 03/09/26WAlexei Popyrin#125ATP US Open · R642:6 7:6 7:6 6:2
Thiago Agustin Tirante
- 12/11/26WAlexander Shevchenko#107ATP Stockholm · QF7:6 6:7 6:3
- 08/11/26WJaume Munar#70ATP Stockholm · R327:6 6:3
- 04/11/26LJan-Lennard Struff#37ATP Paris · R327:6 3:6 6:7
- 01/11/26LMattia Bellucci#62ATP Paris · Q24:6 4:6
- 31/10/26WZachary Svajda#78ATP Paris · Q13:6 6:1 6:4
- 24/10/26LAdrian Mannarino#61ATP Vienna · Q14:6 6:7
- 19/10/26LFacundo Diaz Acosta#66ATP Almaty · R327:6 1:6 4:6
- 10/10/26LRafael Jodar#11ATP Shanghai · R646:4 2:6 3:6
- 08/10/26WHamad Medjedovic#80ATP Shanghai · R1286:4 6:2
- 30/09/26LJan-Lennard Struff#37ATP Beijing · R321:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Alejandro TabiloThiago Agustin Tirante
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Tabilo | T. Tirante | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 15–1452% | 18–1555% |
| Clay | 24–1267% | 15–768% |
| Grass | 0–30% | 1–233% |
Head to head
A. Tabilo 2–1 T. Tirante
- 27/02/26Winner: A. Tabilo4:6 6:3 6:3
- 21/02/26Winner: A. Tabilo7:6 6:7 6:1
- 14/08/25Winner: T. Tirante2:6 4:6
Road through the tournament
Alejandro Tabilo
- 11/11/26WLorenzo Sonego#115ATP Stockholm · R167:6 6:7 7:5
- 12/11/26WAlex Michelsen#35ATP Stockholm · QF7:5 7:6
Thiago Agustin Tirante
- 08/11/26WJaume Munar#70ATP Stockholm · R327:6 6:3
- 12/11/26WAlexander Shevchenko#107ATP Stockholm · QF7:6 6:7 6:3
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