Michelsen vs Tabilo: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Michelsen won 2-0 in 9 of the last 20 matches, Tabilo lost 0-2 in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 32%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Michelsen 68% · A. Tabilo 32%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 70% | 30% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 61% | 39% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 46% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 34% | 66% | 35% |
Sample: 3,356 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 38%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Michelsen | Tour | A. Tabilo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 83% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.47 | 0.47 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.15 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 16/32 | 12/27 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 66 | 67 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alex Michelsen
- 10/11/26WJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#54ATP Stockholm · R166:3 6:2
- 09/11/26WYannick Hanfmann#67ATP Stockholm · R326:2 6:3
- 04/11/26LCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP Paris · R326:7 3:6
- 03/11/26WJiří Lehečka#15ATP Paris · R646:7 6:2 6:4
- 29/10/26LArthur Fils#7ATP Basel · R166:4 3:6 6:7
- 27/10/26WBotic Van de Zandschulp#40ATP Basel · R325:7 6:3 6:3
- 23/10/26LArthur Fils#7ATP Brussels · QF4:6 6:7
- 22/10/26WDavid Goffin#686ATP Brussels · R166:3 6:4
- 19/10/26WAndrea Guerrieri#160ATP Brussels · R326:1 6:2
- 10/10/26LBotic Van de Zandschulp#40ATP Shanghai · R644:6 4:6
Alejandro Tabilo
- 11/11/26WLorenzo Sonego#115ATP Stockholm · R167:6 6:7 7:5
- 02/11/26LRafael Jodar#11ATP Paris · R642:6 3:6
- 27/10/26LRafael Jodar#11ATP Basel · R324:6 2:6
- 10/10/26LPablo Carreno Busta#77ATP Shanghai · R646:4 6:7 4:6
- 03/10/26LDenis Shapovalov#50ATP Tokyo · R165:7 6:3 4:6
- 30/09/26WTommy Paul#13ATP Tokyo · R326:1 6:2
- 25/09/26LAdrian Mannarino#61ATP Chengdu · R164:6 4:6
- 06/09/26LAlexander Zverev#1ATP US Open · R322:6 6:7 2:6
- 03/09/26WAlexei Popyrin#125ATP US Open · R642:6 7:6 7:6 6:2
- 31/08/26WYannick Hanfmann#67ATP US Open · R1286:3 6:2 6:7 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Michelsen | A. Tabilo | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 32–1667% | 14–1450% |
| Clay | 6–746% | 24–1267% |
| Grass | 3–260% | 0–30% |
Head to head
A. Michelsen 1–0 A. Tabilo
- 23/03/26Winner: A. Michelsen3:6 6:3 6:4
Road through the tournament
Alex Michelsen
- 09/11/26WYannick Hanfmann#67ATP Stockholm · R326:2 6:3
- 10/11/26WJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#54ATP Stockholm · R166:3 6:2
Alejandro Tabilo
- 11/11/26WLorenzo Sonego#115ATP Stockholm · R167:6 6:7 7:5
Upcoming matches
- Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko, · ATP Stockholm
- Taylor Fritz vs Holger Rune, · ATP Stockholm
- Lorenzo Musetti vs Ugo Humbert, · ATP Stockholm
- Massimo Giunta vs Henry Searle, · Challenger Hersonissos 3
- Francesco Maestrelli vs Sumit Nagal, · Challenger Hersonissos 3
- Michele Ribecai vs Adrian Andreev, · Challenger Hersonissos 3