ATP Stockholm250Semifinalhard, indoorbest of three sets
Fritz vs Musetti: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 11h 49mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from Elo (no market). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Taylor Fritz53%
Lorenzo Musetti47%
Elo: T. Fritz 53% · L. Musetti 47%
from Elo (no market)
Set score
2:0 T. Fritz33%
2:1 T. Fritz20%
2:1 L. Musetti19%
2:0 L. Musetti29%
First set
Taylor Fritz52%
Lorenzo Musetti48%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
Expected total: 24.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 69% | 31% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 61% | 39% | 53% |
| 22.5 | 56% | 44% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 48% | 52% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 42% | 58% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 41% | 59% | 34% |
| 26.5 | 37% | 63% | 30% |
Sample: 17,480 matches
Games handicap
T. Fritz −0.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes49%
tour average 37%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Fritz | Tour | L. Musetti | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 71% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 89% | 76% | 83% |
| Breaks of serve | 17% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 1.03 | 0.37 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.13 | 0.18 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 22% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 23/36 | 10/18 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 70% | |
| Matches in the sample | 62 | 45 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Taylor Fritz
- 11/11/26WCameron Norrie#53ATP Stockholm · R167:5 6:3
- 06/11/26LCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP Paris · QF7:6 5:7 3:6
- 05/11/26WArthur Fils#7ATP Paris · R166:3 6:4
- 04/11/26WAlex Molcan#72ATP Paris · R326:7 7:5 7:6
- 03/11/26WBenjamin Bonzi#91ATP Paris · R643:6 6:3 6:4
- 31/10/26LValentin Vacherot#27ATP Basel · SF6:7 3:6
- 30/10/26WArthur Fils#7ATP Basel · QF6:2 2:0
- 29/10/26WDenis Shapovalov#50ATP Basel · R166:4 6:3
- 28/10/26WRinky Hijikata#59ATP Basel · R326:4 7:6
- 25/10/26LLorenzo Musetti#25ATP Lyon · F3:6 4:6
Lorenzo Musetti
- 12/11/26WUgo Humbert#39ATP Stockholm · QF7:6 3:6 6:4
- 10/11/26WToby Samuel#95ATP Stockholm · R166:1 6:4
- 05/11/26LLuca Van Assche#34ATP Paris · R165:7 6:3 4:6
- 04/11/26WAlexander Zverev#1ATP Paris · R327:6 6:2
- 02/11/26WHubert Hurkacz#30ATP Paris · R647:6 7:6
- 29/10/26LArthur Fery#33ATP Vienna · R164:6 7:5 4:6
- 28/10/26WFrances Tiafoe#8ATP Vienna · R327:6 7:5
- 25/10/26WTaylor Fritz#10ATP Lyon · F6:3 6:4
- 24/10/26WFlavio Cobolli#6ATP Lyon · SF4:6 6:2 7:5
- 23/10/26WLuca Van Assche#34ATP Lyon · QF7:6 6:7 6:4
Elo over the last year
Taylor FritzLorenzo Musetti
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Fritz | L. Musetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 32–1470% | 24–1169% |
| Clay | 0–20% | 6–460% |
| Grass | 11–379% | 0–0 |
Head to head
T. Fritz 2–4 L. Musetti
- 25/10/26Winner: L. Musetti3:6 4:6
- 26/01/26Winner: L. Musetti2:6 5:7 4:6
- 10/11/25Winner: T. Fritz6:3 6:4
- 10/07/24Winner: L. Musetti6:3 6:7 2:6 6:3 1:6
- 07/04/24Winner: L. Musetti4:6 4:6
- 28/06/22Winner: T. Fritz6:4 6:4 6:3
Road through the tournament
Taylor Fritz
- 11/11/26WCameron Norrie#53ATP Stockholm · R167:5 6:3
Lorenzo Musetti
- 10/11/26WToby Samuel#95ATP Stockholm · R166:1 6:4
- 12/11/26WUgo Humbert#39ATP Stockholm · QF7:6 3:6 6:4
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