ATP Almaty250Quarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Tsitsipas vs Duckworth: prediction and tips

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Stefanos TsitsipasATP #39Elo 2054hard 2022
-:-
James DuckworthATP #73Elo 1857hard 1828

Our tips

Tip in 1d 3h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Stefanos Tsitsipas79%
James Duckworth21%

Elo: S. Tsitsipas 75% · J. Duckworth 25%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Tsitsipas56%
2:1 S. Tsitsipas21%
2:1 J. Duckworth11%
2:0 J. Duckworth11%

First set

Stefanos Tsitsipas73%
James Duckworth27%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 50%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.574%26%67%
20.565%35%59%
21.556%44%54%
22.550%50%45%
23.543%57%39%
24.537%63%38%
25.535%65%34%

Sample: 3,092 matches

Games handicap

Stefanos Tsitsipas −4.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes49%

tour average 38%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. TsitsipasTourJ. Duckworth
Service points won68%62%66%
Return points won35%38%35%
Service games held87%76%85%
Breaks of serve18%24%20%
Aces per service game0.600.62
Double faults per game0.190.27
Sets with a tie-break24%19%
Tie-breaks won13/3315/33
Wins in straight sets59%64%
Matches in the sample5471

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Stefanos Tsitsipas

James Duckworth

Elo over the last year

Stefanos TsitsipasJames Duckworth

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. TsitsipasJ. Duckworth
Hard court21–1460%29–2158%
Clay10–663%11–473%
Grass1–233%2–433%

Head to head

S. Tsitsipas 1–0 J. Duckworth

  • 02/08/18Winner: Stefanos Tsitsipas6:3 6:4

Road through the tournament

Stefanos Tsitsipas

James Duckworth